Rabu, 05 Februari 2020

Coronavirus Live Updates: China Death Toll Rises and Hong Kong Imposes Quarantines - The New York Times

Credit...Chinatopix, via Associated Press

The death toll from the monthlong coronavirus outbreak has continued to climb in China, rising to 490. New cases have surged by double-digit percentages in the past 11 days, with no sign of a slowdown.

More people have now died in this epidemic than in the severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS, outbreak of 2002-3 in mainland China. During that outbreak, 349 people died in the mainland.

The new figures from China’s Health Commission on Wednesday showed that 65 people died on Tuesday and that 3,887 more people had been infected. So far, 24,324 people are known to have been infected.

Health experts say the death toll is likely to rise because of the large number of infections. The mortality rate of the coronavirus, about 2 percent so far, appears to be far lower than SARS, which has a mortality rate of about 10 percent.

Experts warn they still lack enough data to say definitively how lethal the new coronavirus is. Many residents in Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak and the capital of Hubei Province, believe the death toll is much higher than the official tally because people with flulike symptoms are being turned away by overstretched hospitals. The health care system in Wuhan is so overwhelmed that many cases have not been diagnosed because of a shortage of testing kits.

Still, the number of people in China recovering from the virus is rising, suggesting that the treatment plan may be working. On Tuesday, 262 people left hospitals nationwide. The number of suspected cases has dropped for two days in a row. Officials said they were tracking 3,971 suspected cases, compared with 5,173 cases the day before.

On Tuesday, health officials released details of the deaths so far, saying that two-thirds of them were men. More than 80 percent were over 60 years old, and they typically had pre-existing health conditions such as cardiovascular diseases or diabetes.

Hubei Province has been hardest hit by the virus, and is home to the bulk of deaths (479) and infections (16,678). Wuhan in particular has borne the brunt of the deaths and infections.

The government said it has put 252,154 people under surveillance.

Video player loading
Aerial footage shows a quiet and desolate picture of Wuhan, China. The city, which has been at the center of the coronavirus outbreak, has been sealed off since Jan. 23.

What is a coronavirus, and how dangerous is it? Read up on the basics, including its symptoms and how it is transmitted.

How bad could the outbreak be? Here are the six key factors that will determine whether it can be contained.

Where has the virus spread? You can track its movement with this map.

How is the United States being affected? There were 11 confirmed cases as of Tuesday. American citizens and permanent residents who fly to the United States from China are now subject to a two-week quarantine.

What if I’m traveling? Several countries, including the United States, have discouraged travel to China, and several airlines have canceled flights. Many travelers have been left in limbo while looking to change or cancel bookings.

How do I keep myself and others safe? Washing your hands is the most important thing you can do.

Hong Kong said that it will begin requiring people who arrive from mainland China to undergo a mandatory 14-day quarantine, as it tries to reduce the potential for imported cases of the coronavirus.

Carrie Lam, Hong Kong’s top official, has resisted demands from some lawmakers and medical workers to completely close off the border, calling it discriminatory and not in line with World Health Organization guidelines.

But she has enacted a series of measures, including closing all but three border crossings, which have resulted in a sharp drop in entries from the mainland.

In a reflection of the mounting international concern over the coronavirus epidemic, President Trump said the United States was coordinating with China on the response to the outbreak — though he also offered a trade-related barb as well.

“Protecting Americans’ health also means fighting infectious diseases,” Mr. Trump said during his State of the Union address on Tuesday night. “We are coordinating with the Chinese government and working closely together on the coronavirus outbreak in China. My administration will take all necessary steps to safeguard our citizens from this threat.”

He did not elaborate.

Eleven cases have been confirmed in the United States. To stem the problem, the United States government said last week it would bar entry into the country by any foreign national who has traveled to China in the past 14 days. It also told Americans not to travel to China.

Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and American Airlines all said last week that they were temporarily suspending all service to mainland China as concerns about the coronavirus spread internationally.

Mr. Trump, who made China a rhetorical punching bag during his 2016 presidential campaign, still took time to criticize Beijing’s trade practices. Last month, the two countries signed an interim trade pact that cooled but did not end an economic conflict between them.

“For decades, China has taken advantage of the United States,” he said. “Now we have changed that, but, at the same time, we have perhaps the best relationship we’ve ever had with China, including with President Xi.”

Chinese scientists are reporting preliminary success with a new approach for treating the coronavirus: an antiviral drug used for treating influenza and an anti-H.I.V. drug.

The researchers found that Arbidol, an antiviral drug used in Russia and China for treating influenza, could be combined with Darunavir, the anti-H.I.V. drug, for treating patients with the coronavirus, according to ChangJiang News, a state-backed newspaper in Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak.

The researchers did not say how many patients they had treated with the combination therapy. It could be too soon to assess its effectiveness. The findings have not been reviewed by outside experts.

With no proven cure in sight, the race is on to find a treatment for the coronavirus.

Li Lanjuan, the lead researcher on the team who belongs to an expert group linked to China’s Health Commission, said she would propose the combination of Arbidol and Darunavir for the sixth version of the government’s treatment plan.

The authorities have tried other treatments. Dr. Li said the anti-H.I.V. drug Kaletra, which was prescribed in the current treatment plan, had toxic side effects.

The Chinese authorities have turned to other types of treatments as well. In its treatment plan for the coronavirus released last week, the National Health Commission of China listed traditional Chinese medicine remedies to be used in conjunction with antiviral H.I.V. drugs.

Nine passengers and one crew member on a cruise ship quarantined in Yokohama, Japan, have tested positive for the coronavirus, the cruise line, Princess Cruises, said on Wednesday.

The ship, carrying 2,666 passengers and 1,045 crew members, arrived in Yokohama on Tuesday, but the authorities did not allow anyone off. An 80-year-old Hong Kong resident who had disembarked earlier in his home city was found to be infected.

In all, 273 passengers were tested for the virus after everyone on board underwent an initial health screening. Twenty-one people were cleared, and officials were awaiting the other results.

Princess Cruises said the infected passengers were from Australia, Japan, Hong Kong and the United States, in addition to one crew member from the Philippines.

The passengers who tested positive were being transported by a Japanese Coast Guard ship to a hospital. The other passengers are to remain quarantined on board the ship, the Diamond Princess, for two weeks.

Separately, a cruise ship that left Hong Kong on Sunday was turned around by the authorities in Kaohsiung, Taiwan, on Wednesday, after three passengers on a previous trip were confirmed to be infected with the coronavirus.

The World Dream left the mainland Chinese city of Guangzhou on Jan. 19, returning from Vietnam five days later. Three passengers on that journey were confirmed on Monday to have the new coronavirus, the company, Star Cruises, said in a statement.

Hong Kong’s Department of Health has begun checking temperatures and taking health declaration forms from 1,800 passengers and 1,800 crew members now on the ship. Passengers will not be allowed to disembark without approval from the department.

At least 30 crew members reported having symptoms of illness, Dr. Leung Yiu-hong, the chief port health officer of the Department of Health, said on Wednesday. They were all being tested for the coronavirus, and three who previously had fevers were under isolation, he said.

Of the passengers, 90 percent are Hong Kong residents and the rest foreign nationals, none of whom are from mainland China. Dr. Leung said the passengers now on the ship had not come into contact with those who took the January cruise.

The United States has begun its second airlift of American citizens out of China.

“Two planes have departed Wuhan en route to the United States,” the State Department said in a statement Tuesday night.

Little information was immediately available on the planes’ destination.

But it was believed that like the first Americans evacuated from Wuhan, the passengers will be taken to a military base and directed to remain there pending medical tests.

The first evacuees were flown from Wuhan on Jan. 29, and their plane stopped in Anchorage to refuel and for the passengers to be given initial screenings. The Boeing 747 then continued on to March Air Reserve Base in Riverside, Calif.

Cathay Pacific is asking its 27,000 employees to take three weeks of unpaid leave in an emergency move as Hong Kong’s flagship carrier struggles with a financial blow from the coronavirus outbreak in China.

In recent days, the airline has cut nearly all flights to and from mainland China and has said it will pare back flights across its network as it faces its biggest emergency since the depths of the financial crisis in 2009.

“The situation now is just as grave,” Augustus Tang Kin-wing, the chief executive of the airline, said in a taped video recording.

The outbreak of the coronavirus has decimated large parts of the global travel network. Health experts have warned that the fast-moving virus could become a pandemic, and multinational companies have banned nonessential travel to China. The authorities have announced widespread bans on travel for Chinese citizens.

Cathay was already fighting for survival before the outbreak, besieged by the political turmoil that has gripped Hong Kong. Last summer, it found itself caught between Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protesters and the Chinese government as China demanded loyalty from businesses that depend on it for business. Cathay fired some employees for being openly supportive of the protesters.

As United States officials impose new restrictions on travelers from China, many people who have returned to the country in recent days have hunkered down in their homes to make sure they were not carrying or spreading the disease.

Some were checking in regularly with local public health departments, taking their temperatures at regular intervals and receiving deliveries of food and water. Others were not conferring with the authorities, but choosing on their own to stay indoors, away from work, away from friends and, in some cases, away from everyone.

All were counting down the days since they left China, waiting anxiously to see if symptoms develop — and whether they can get their lives back to normal.

“It’s pretty scary,” said a woman in Massachusetts whose husband and 18-month-old son have been holed up in the family’s basement since returning from China last week.

The woman, a medical researcher who asked not to be named, said her family’s self-imposed quarantine was a necessary step to protect others, especially since she feared her family had traveled on the same flight as a man who was later diagnosed with coronavirus.

“If people are responsible people,” she said, “they are willing to do this.”

Reporting was contributed by Daniel Victor, Sui-Lee Wee, Yiwei Wang, Ben Dooley, Elaine Yu, Austin Ramzy, Alexandra Stevenson, Ezra Cheung, Jack Ewing, Neal E. Boudette, Geneva Abdul, Mitch Smith, Zolan Kanno-Youngs, Farah Stockman and Vanessa Swales.

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2020-02-05 11:22:00Z
52780579291157

Two cruise ships quarantined in Asia amid coronavirus outbreak, stranding more than 5,000 - CNN

People aboard both ships are being given health screenings, and those with suspicious symptoms are being tested for the virus that has quickly spread throughout mainland China and beyond.
The Diamond Princess is anchored off the coast of Yokohama, near Tokyo, with 1,045 crew and 2,666 passengers -- including 428 Americans -- on board.
The second ship, the World Dream, is docked at Hong Kong's Kai Tak Cruise Terminal with 1,800 people on board, the city's Department of Health said Wednesday.
Concerns about potential infection among thousands of passengers at sea exposes the vulnerability of cruise ships to viral illnesses, like the coronavirus. The threat also raises questions about the durability of Asia's booming leisure cruise industry, which counts the elderly as among its most loyal customers.
Older people are especially susceptible to the Wuhan coronavirus -- China's National Health Commission said Tuesday that 80% of all fatalities in mainland China were over the age of 60.
The virus has infected more than 20,000 people in mainland China and nearly 200 worldwide across 25 countries and territories. It has claimed 492 lives worldwide, all but two in mainland China.
Cruise companies worldwide have vowed to enact extra measures to protect their customers from infection, with several barring passengers who have been to mainland China in the past 14 days.
Ships are considered particularly at risk from outbreaks, due to the close living quarters of passengers and crew. Researchers are still unsure exactly how the coronavirus spreads and how infectious it is.
Chinese officials had previously said that patients can be infectious even if they are not presenting symptoms. An early study on asymptomatic transmission of the virus published last week in the prestigious New England Journal of Medicine appeared to confirm Chinese health officials' assessment.
But public health officials now say the report may be flawed. Interviews with the Chinese patient at the center of the study revealed she may have actually had mild, nonspecific symptoms.
An important factor yet to be determined is whether the Wuhan coronavirus spreads via the fecal-oral route, like norovirus and Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), according to Dr. John Nicholls, a clinical professor in pathology at the University of Hong Kong.
Norovirus is a contagious stomach bug that causes vomiting and diarrhea that is notorious for infecting cruise passengers.
Viruses like norovirus spread so quickly on cruises because "you've got so many people in a crowded area and people are sharing areas, touching places," Nicholls said.
A passenger wearing a facemask looks out from the cabin of the World Dream cruise ship in Kai Tak cruise terminal Hong Kong on Wednesday.

14 days on board

Japanese Health Minister Katsunoby Kato said Wednesday that 10 people on board the Diamond Princess had been infected and taken to hospital.
The cruise operator, Princess Cruises, said in a statement the infected passengers include one American, two Australians, three Japanese and three Hong Kong citizens. One Filipino crew member is also ill, the statement said.
The rest of the passengers on board will remain under quarantine for at least 14 days, "as required by the Ministry of Health," the cruise company's statement added.
The cases were detected after medical officials went room-to-room to check each guests' temperature and condition, Japan's health ministry said in a statement. Those who showed symptoms were subject to further testing.
More passengers than expected needed to be temporarily quarantined while being tested, the statement said. More than 100 test results are still pending, it added. The company also said the first phase of screening of all the passengers on board has been completed.
Spencer Fehrenbacher, a traveler on the ship, told CNN he was tested because he complained about a sore throat and fever last week. He said swabs were taken of the left and right side of his throat.
Fehrenbacher, a US citizen living in Tianjin, China, and studying for a masters degree there, said he was in good spirits. He is on the cruise with his roommate from Tianjin and two other friends.
"The Princess crew has been incredible in their support and communication up to this point," he said. "They're providing complimentary internet to everyone on board to ensure that everyone is able to communicate with family and friends."
A small boat is pictured next to the Diamond Princess cruise ship as it sits anchored.

Questions in Hong Kong

Three former passengers who took a World Dream cruise from January 19 to 24 to Vietnam tested positive for the coronavirus after they'd left the ship, the ship's operator, Dream Cruises, said in a statement.
The company said 4,482 passengers and 1,814 crew members were on board for that voyage.
Before boarding, all passengers received what the company called "stringent temperatures checks" at Nansha, Dream Cruises said.
Anyone who had a fever was then tested for the coronavirus by the Nansha Center for Disease Control and Prevention. All tests came back negative at the time, Dream Cruises added.
The passengers on that journey disembarked at two stops -- in Nansha in southern China and in Hong Kong -- on 24 January after the cruise to Vietnam, the Hong Kong Department of Health said at a news conference Wednesday.
The 151,000-tonne World Dream, owned by a Hong Kong-based cruise liner, sits anchored at the international port in Manila on January 29 after making a port of call in the Philippine capital.
The crew stayed on and the World Dream then picked up a different set of passengers before arriving in Hong Kong Wednesday morning, Hong Kong authorities said.
Dream Cruises' statement said that once it found out about two of the three infected passengers Monday, it sealed off the cabins where they had been staying. The company said it found out about the first case on Sunday through "Chinese media sources."
The current group of passengers got on for another itinerary, but the exact stops are unclear. Dream Cruises and its parent company, Genting Hong Kong, did not reply to CNN's phone calls and emails seeking clarification.
The World Dream departed the southern Taiwanese port city of Kaohsiung for Hong Kong on February 4. Taiwan's Ministry of Health and Welfare said the World Dream docked there but passengers were not allowed to leave.
In the meantime, Dream Cruises said it was attempting to contact all the passengers who had been on the January 19 to 24 cruise "to inform them of the situation and to remind them to seek professional medical assistance at their local Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or health authorities should any symptoms arise or if they have any questions."
"Crew members that worked in the affected cabins have also been isolated in their crew quarters with daily temperature checks and, since 24 January onwards, there have been no virus-related health issues among any members of its crew," the company said.
Hong Kong's Health Department said Wednesday some 30 members of the crew reported feeling sick, but all are in stable condition. Three who reported fevers are in isolation in a Hong Kong hospital for further testing.

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https://news.google.com/__i/rss/rd/articles/CBMiVmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmNubi5jb20vMjAyMC8wMi8wNS9hc2lhL2Nvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNydWlzZS1xdWFyYW50aW5lcy1pbnRsLWhuay9pbmRleC5odG1s0gFaaHR0cHM6Ly9hbXAuY25uLmNvbS9jbm4vMjAyMC8wMi8wNS9hc2lhL2Nvcm9uYXZpcnVzLWNydWlzZS1xdWFyYW50aW5lcy1pbnRsLWhuay9pbmRleC5odG1s?oc=5

2020-02-05 10:46:00Z
52780579291157

Coronavirus Live Updates: China Death Toll Rises and Hong Kong Imposes Quarantines - The New York Times

Credit...Chinatopix, via Associated Press

The death toll from the monthlong coronavirus outbreak has continued to climb in China, rising to 490. New cases have surged by double-digit percentages in the past 11 days, with no sign of a slowdown.

More people have now died in this epidemic than in the severe acute respiratory syndrome, or SARS, outbreak of 2002-3 in mainland China. During that outbreak, 349 people died in the mainland.

The new figures from China’s Health Commission on Wednesday showed that 65 people died on Tuesday and that 3,887 more people had been infected. So far, 24,324 people are known to have been infected.

Health experts say the death toll is likely to rise because of the large number of infections. The mortality rate of the coronavirus, about 2 percent so far, appears to be far lower than SARS, which has a mortality rate of about 10 percent.

Experts warn they still lack enough data to say definitively how lethal the new coronavirus is. Many residents in Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak and the capital of Hubei Province, believe the death toll is much higher than the official tally because people with flulike symptoms are being turned away by overstretched hospitals. The health care system in Wuhan is so overwhelmed that many cases have not been diagnosed because of a shortage of testing kits.

Still, the number of people in China recovering from the virus is rising, suggesting that the treatment plan may be working. On Tuesday, 262 people left hospitals nationwide. The number of suspected cases has dropped for two days in a row. Officials said they were tracking 3,971 suspected cases, compared with 5,173 cases the day before.

On Tuesday, health officials released details of the deaths so far, saying that two-thirds of them were men. More than 80 percent were over 60 years old, and they typically had pre-existing health conditions such as cardiovascular diseases or diabetes.

Hubei Province has been hardest hit by the virus, and is home to the bulk of deaths (479) and infections (16,678). Wuhan in particular has borne the brunt of the deaths and infections.

The government said it has put 252,154 people under surveillance.

Video player loading
Aerial footage shows a quiet and desolate picture of Wuhan, China. The city, which has been at the center of the coronavirus outbreak, has been sealed off since Jan. 23.

What is a coronavirus, and how dangerous is it? Read up on the basics, including its symptoms and how it is transmitted.

How bad could the outbreak be? Here are the six key factors that will determine whether it can be contained.

Where has the virus spread? You can track its movement with this map.

How is the United States being affected? There were 11 confirmed cases as of Tuesday. American citizens and permanent residents who fly to the United States from China are now subject to a two-week quarantine.

What if I’m traveling? Several countries, including the United States, have discouraged travel to China, and several airlines have canceled flights. Many travelers have been left in limbo while looking to change or cancel bookings.

How do I keep myself and others safe? Washing your hands is the most important thing you can do.

Hong Kong said that it will begin requiring people who arrive from mainland China to undergo a mandatory 14-day quarantine, as it tries to reduce the potential for imported cases of the coronavirus.

Carrie Lam, Hong Kong’s top official, has resisted demands from some lawmakers and medical workers to completely close off the border, calling it discriminatory and not in line with World Health Organization guidelines.

But she has enacted a series of measures, including closing all but three border crossings, which have resulted in a sharp drop in entries from the mainland.

In a reflection of the mounting international concern over the coronavirus epidemic, President Trump said the United States was coordinating with China on the response to the outbreak — though he also offered a trade-related barb as well.

“Protecting Americans’ health also means fighting infectious diseases,” Mr. Trump said during his State of the Union address on Tuesday night. “We are coordinating with the Chinese government and working closely together on the coronavirus outbreak in China. My administration will take all necessary steps to safeguard our citizens from this threat.”

He did not elaborate.

Eleven cases have been confirmed in the United States. To stem the problem, the United States government said last week it would bar entry into the country by any foreign national who has traveled to China in the past 14 days. It also told Americans not to travel to China.

Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and American Airlines all said last week that they were temporarily suspending all service to mainland China as concerns about the coronavirus spread internationally.

Mr. Trump, who made China a rhetorical punching bag during his 2016 presidential campaign, still took time to criticize Beijing’s trade practices. Last month, the two countries signed an interim trade pact that cooled but did not end an economic conflict between them.

“For decades, China has taken advantage of the United States,” he said. “Now we have changed that, but, at the same time, we have perhaps the best relationship we’ve ever had with China, including with President Xi.”

Chinese scientists are reporting preliminary success with a new approach for treating the coronavirus: an antiviral drug used for treating influenza and an anti-H.I.V. drug.

The researchers found that Arbidol, an antiviral drug used in Russia and China for treating influenza, could be combined with Darunavir, the anti-H.I.V. drug, for treating patients with the coronavirus, according to ChangJiang News, a state-backed newspaper in Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak.

The researchers did not say how many patients they had treated with the combination therapy. It could be too soon to assess its effectiveness. The findings have not been reviewed by outside experts.

With no proven cure in sight, the race is on to find a treatment for the coronavirus.

Li Lanjuan, the lead researcher on the team who belongs to an expert group linked to China’s Health Commission, said she would propose the combination of Arbidol and Darunavir for the sixth version of the government’s treatment plan.

The authorities have tried other treatments. Dr. Li said the anti-H.I.V. drug Kaletra, which was prescribed in the current treatment plan, had toxic side effects.

The Chinese authorities have turned to other types of treatments as well. In its treatment plan for the coronavirus released last week, the National Health Commission of China listed traditional Chinese medicine remedies to be used in conjunction with antiviral H.I.V. drugs.

Nine passengers and one crew member on a cruise ship quarantined in Yokohama, Japan, have tested positive for the coronavirus, the cruise line, Princess Cruises, said on Wednesday.

The ship, carrying 2,666 passengers and 1,045 crew members, arrived in Yokohama on Tuesday, but the authorities did not allow anyone off. An 80-year-old Hong Kong resident who had disembarked earlier in his home city was found to be infected.

In all, 273 passengers were tested for the virus after everyone on board underwent an initial health screening. Twenty-one people were cleared, and officials were awaiting the other results.

Princess Cruises said the infected passengers were from Australia, Japan, Hong Kong and the United States, in addition to one crew member from the Philippines.

The passengers who tested positive were being transported by a Japanese Coast Guard ship to a hospital. The other passengers are to remain quarantined on board the ship, the Diamond Princess, for two weeks.

Separately, a cruise ship that left Hong Kong on Sunday was turned around by the authorities in Kaohsiung, Taiwan, on Wednesday, after three passengers on a previous trip were confirmed to be infected with the coronavirus.

The World Dream left the mainland Chinese city of Guangzhou on Jan. 19, returning from Vietnam five days later. Three passengers on that journey were confirmed on Monday to have the new coronavirus, the company, Star Cruises, said in a statement.

Hong Kong’s Department of Health has begun checking temperatures and taking health declaration forms from 1,800 passengers and 1,800 crew members now on the ship. Passengers will not be allowed to disembark without approval from the department.

At least 30 crew members reported having symptoms of illness, Dr. Leung Yiu-hong, the chief port health officer of the Department of Health, said on Wednesday. They were all being tested for the coronavirus, and three who previously had fevers were under isolation, he said.

Of the passengers, 90 percent are Hong Kong residents and the rest foreign nationals, none of whom are from mainland China. Dr. Leung said the passengers now on the ship had not come into contact with those who took the January cruise.

The United States has begun its second airlift of American citizens out of China.

“Two planes have departed Wuhan en route to the United States,” the State Department said in a statement Tuesday night.

Little information was immediately available on the planes’ destination.

But it was believed that like the first Americans evacuated from Wuhan, the passengers will be taken to a military base and directed to remain there pending medical tests.

The first evacuees were flown from Wuhan on Jan. 29, and their plane stopped in Anchorage to refuel and for the passengers to be given initial screenings. The Boeing 747 then continued on to March Air Reserve Base in Riverside, Calif.

Cathay Pacific is asking its 27,000 employees to take three weeks of unpaid leave in an emergency move as Hong Kong’s flagship carrier struggles with a financial blow from the coronavirus outbreak in China.

In recent days, the airline has cut nearly all flights to and from mainland China and has said it will pare back flights across its network as it faces its biggest emergency since the depths of the financial crisis in 2009.

“The situation now is just as grave,” Augustus Tang Kin-wing, the chief executive of the airline, said in a taped video recording.

The outbreak of the coronavirus has decimated large parts of the global travel network. Health experts have warned that the fast-moving virus could become a pandemic, and multinational companies have banned nonessential travel to China. The authorities have announced widespread bans on travel for Chinese citizens.

Cathay was already fighting for survival before the outbreak, besieged by the political turmoil that has gripped Hong Kong. Last summer, it found itself caught between Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protesters and the Chinese government as China demanded loyalty from businesses that depend on it for business. Cathay fired some employees for being openly supportive of the protesters.

As United States officials impose new restrictions on travelers from China, many people who have returned to the country in recent days have hunkered down in their homes to make sure they were not carrying or spreading the disease.

Some were checking in regularly with local public health departments, taking their temperatures at regular intervals and receiving deliveries of food and water. Others were not conferring with the authorities, but choosing on their own to stay indoors, away from work, away from friends and, in some cases, away from everyone.

All were counting down the days since they left China, waiting anxiously to see if symptoms develop — and whether they can get their lives back to normal.

“It’s pretty scary,” said a woman in Massachusetts whose husband and 18-month-old son have been holed up in the family’s basement since returning from China last week.

The woman, a medical researcher who asked not to be named, said her family’s self-imposed quarantine was a necessary step to protect others, especially since she feared her family had traveled on the same flight as a man who was later diagnosed with coronavirus.

“If people are responsible people,” she said, “they are willing to do this.”

Reporting was contributed by Daniel Victor, Sui-Lee Wee, Yiwei Wang, Ben Dooley, Elaine Yu, Austin Ramzy, Alexandra Stevenson, Ezra Cheung, Jack Ewing, Neal E. Boudette, Geneva Abdul, Mitch Smith, Zolan Kanno-Youngs, Farah Stockman and Vanessa Swales.

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2020-02-05 10:02:00Z
52780579291157

Two cruise ships quarantined in Asia amid coronavirus outbreak, stranding more than 5,000 - CNN

People aboard both ships are being given health screenings, and those with suspicious symptoms are being tested for the virus that has quickly spread throughout mainland China and beyond.
The Diamond Princess is anchored off the coast of Yokohama, near Tokyo, with 1,045 crew and 2,666 passengers -- including 428 Americans -- on board.
The second ship, the World Dream, is docked at Hong Kong's Kai Tak Cruise Terminal with 1,800 people on board, the city's Department of Health said Wednesday.
Concerns about potential infection among thousands of passengers at sea exposes the vulnerability of cruise ships to viral illnesses, like the coronavirus. The threat also raises questions about the durability of Asia's booming leisure cruise industry, which counts the elderly as among its most loyal customers.
Older people are especially susceptible to the Wuhan coronavirus -- China's National Health Commission said Tuesday that 80% of all fatalities in mainland China were over the age of 60.
The virus has infected more than 20,000 people in mainland China and nearly 200 worldwide across 25 countries and territories. It has claimed 492 lives worldwide, all but two in mainland China.
Cruise companies worldwide have vowed to enact extra measures to protect their customers from infection, with several barring passengers who have been to mainland China in the past 14 days.
Ships are considered particularly at risk from outbreaks, due to the close living quarters of passengers and crew. Researchers are still unsure exactly how the coronavirus spreads and how infectious it is.
Chinese officials had previously said that patients can be infectious even if they are not presenting symptoms. An early study on asymptomatic transmission of the virus published last week in the prestigious New England Journal of Medicine appeared to confirm Chinese health officials' assessment.
But public health officials now say the report may be flawed. Interviews with the Chinese patient at the center of the study revealed she may have actually had mild, nonspecific symptoms.
An important factor yet to be determined is whether the Wuhan coronavirus spreads via the fecal-oral route, like norovirus and Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), according to Dr. John Nicholls, a clinical professor in pathology at the University of Hong Kong.
Norovirus is a contagious stomach bug that causes vomiting and diarrhea that is notorious for infecting cruise passengers.
Viruses like norovirus spread so quickly on cruises on cruises because "you've got so many people in a crowded area and people are sharing areas, touching places," Nicholls said.
A passenger wearing a facemask looks out from the cabin of the World Dream cruise ship in Kai Tak cruise terminal Hong Kong on Wednesday.

14 days on board

Ten cases of the Wuhan coronavirus have been confirmed aboard the Diamond Princess off Japan.
The infected passengers include one American, two Australians, two Japanese and three Hong Kong citizens. One Filipino crew member is also ill, Princess Cruises, which operates the Diamond Princess, said in a statement.
They will be taken ashore by the Japanese Coast Guard and transferred to local hospitals. The rest of the passengers on board will remain under quarantine for at least 14 days, "as required by the Ministry of Health," the statement added.
The cases were detected after medical officials went room-to-room to check each guests' temperature and condition, Japan's health ministry said in a statement. Those who showed symptoms were subject to further testing.
More passengers than expected needed to be temporarily quarantined while being tested, the statement said. More than 100 test results are still pending, it added. The company also said the first phase of screening of all the passengers on board has been completed.
Spencer Fehrenbacher, a traveler on the ship, told CNN he was tested because he complained about a sore throat and fever last week. He said swabs were taken of the left and right side of his throat.
Fehrenbacher, a US citizen living in Tianjin, China, and studying for a masters degree there, said he was in good spirits. He is on the cruise with his roommate from Tianjin and two other friends.
"The Princess crew has been incredible in their support and communication up to this point," he said. "They're providing complimentary internet to everyone on board to ensure that everyone is able to communicate with family and friends."
A small boat is pictured next to the Diamond Princess cruise ship as it sits anchored.

Questions in Hong Kong

Three former passengers who took a World Dream cruise from January 19 to 24 to Vietnam tested positive for the coronavirus after they'd left the ship, the ship's operator, Dream Cruises, said in a statement.
The company said 4,482 passengers and 1,814 crew members were on board for that voyage.
Before boarding, all passengers received what the company called "stringent temperatures checks" at Nansha, Dream Cruises said.
Anyone who had a fever was then tested for the coronavirus by the Nansha Center for Disease Control and Prevention. All tests came back negative at the time, Dream Cruises added.
The passengers on that journey disembarked at two stops -- in Nansha in southern China and in Hong Kong -- on 24 January after the cruise to Vietnam, the Hong Kong Department of Health said at a news conference Wednesday.
The 151,000-tonne World Dream, owned by a Hong Kong-based cruise liner, sits anchored at the international port in Manila on January 29 after making a port of call in the Philippine capital.
The crew stayed on and the World Dream then picked up a different set of passengers before arriving in Hong Kong Wednesday morning, Hong Kong authorities said.
Dream Cruises' statement said that once it found out about two of the three infected passengers Monday, it sealed off the cabins where they had been staying. The company said it found out about the first case on Sunday through "Chinese media sources."
The current group of passengers got on for another itinerary, but the exact stops are unclear. Dream Cruises and its parent company, Genting Hong Kong, did not reply to CNN's phone calls and emails seeking clarification.
The World Dream departed the southern Taiwanese port city of Kaohsiung for Hong Kong on February 4. Taiwan's Ministry of Health and Welfare said the World Dream docked there but passengers were not allowed to leave.
In the meantime, Dream Cruises said it was attempting to contact all the passengers who had been on the January 19 to 24 cruise "to inform them of the situation and to remind them to seek professional medical assistance at their local Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or health authorities should any symptoms arise or if they have any questions."
"Crew members that worked in the affected cabins have also been isolated in their crew quarters with daily temperature checks and, since 24 January onwards, there have been no virus-related health issues among any members of its crew," the company said.
Hong Kong's Health Department said Wednesday some 30 members of the crew reported feeling sick, but all are in stable condition. Three who reported fevers are in isolation in a Hong Kong hospital for further testing.

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2020-02-05 09:00:00Z
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Selasa, 04 Februari 2020

Some analysts are trimming their China GDP forecasts amid coronavirus outbreak - CNBC

An outbreak of pneumonia-like disease caused by a coronavirus was registered in Wuhan, a port city of 11 million people, the administrative center of the Hubei province, at the end of December 2019.

Artyom Ivanov | TASS | Getty Images

Some analysts and economists are downgrading China's GDP growth forecast for 2020 as the coronavirus outbreak hits the world's second largest economy.

Economic activity in many cities halted as factories closed for week-long Lunar New Year holidays. The break was extended in some places — a move that will hit global supply chains.

Meanwhile, the service sector has also been hit as people are encouraged to stay at home. New movie launches have been cancelled during the country's peak season for consumer spending.

But some have argued that Beijing's expected stimulus measures may offset the outbreak's impact on the economy.

In 2019, China's full-year GDP growth was 6.1%, down from 6.6% the year before.

"The immediate and most significant economic impact is in China...but will reverberate globally, given the importance of China in global growth as well as in global company revenue," said Moody's Investors Service in a report last Wednesday.

On the same day, a Chinese government economist said that the country's first-quarter economic growth may drop to 5% or even lower due to the virus outbreak, Reuters reported, citing a local magazine.

Here's what banks and research houses are predicting for China's economy this year.

ANZ: Maintain at 5.8%

ANZ is maintaining full-year GDP growth forecast at 5.8% for now, although it has downgraded China's first-quarter growth from 5.9% to 5.0%.

"Industrial activity and exports will decrease due to a decrease in the number of working days," ANZ economists said. "Supply chain activity will be interrupted as Wuhan is a large industrial hub in central China."

The economists are estimating a loss of 3.5 working days in the first quarter of 2020.

Citi: Downgrades from 5.8% to 5.5%

Citigroup economists are expecting China's full-year growth to slow from their previous forecast of 5.8% to 5.5%.

They said the negative economic impact will likely be concentrated in the first quarter of the year.

"Carefully calibrated policy interventions will be critical to mitigate the economic shock and maintain social stability," they added in a note.

Economist Intelligence Unit: Downgrades from 5.9% to 4.9-5.4%

The EIU said the outbreak could reduce real GDP growth in 2020 by 0.5 to 1 percentage point from its baseline forecast of 5.9% if the outbreak develops into an epidemic comparable to SARS.

"The government will implement restrictions on travel and shipments, which will cause disruptions to business activity," said Imogen Page-Jarrett, a research analyst.

"If the outbreak becomes an epidemic, rising expenditure on healthcare for local governments will limit room for spending in other areas," Page-Jarrett added.

"Plans for infrastructure building and other forms of stimulus aimed at putting a floor under economic growth this year could be put on hold."

While sectors like travel, tourism and manufacturing will be the hardest hit, some sectors like pharmaceuticals, online entertainment and e-commerce may pick up. Car sales may also get a boost as consumers stay away from public transport, he said.

Macquarie: Downgrades from 5.9% to 5.6%

Macquarie downgraded its forecast for China's first-quarter GDP growth from 5.9% to 4%. It is also shaving the country's full-year GDP growth from 5.9% to 5.6% — assuming the coronavirus outbreak comes under control by the second quarter of the year, said Larry Hu, chief economist for China.

"Our outlook for 2020 remains as 'getting worse before getting better,'" said Hu in a report this week, although it's still too early to assess the damage, he added.

Hu said he wasn't too concerned about the loss in consumption, as any losses would be an one-off event.

"For us, what's more important is the knock-on effect on property and the corporate sector," Hu said. "Especially, after four years of up-cycle, the property sector was already at a turning point even before Coronavirus hit," he said.

Mizuho: Downgrades from 5.9% to 5.6%

"Given the Wuhan virus (2019 nCoV) is exponentially more infectious than either SARS or MERS, devastation could be far more as travel, trade and economic activity face a greater scale of disruptions from larger and more transmissible outbreak," said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy for Asia.

For the first half of the year, Varathan said he expects China's GDP growth between 4.8% to 5.2% before picking up to 5.8% to 6.3% for the second half due to pent-up demand.

Moody's: Maintains at 5.8%

At this time, the ratings agency is keeping its forecast of a 5.8% GDP growth for China in 2020.

However, the composition of growth is likely to shift due to the impact of the virus on consumption in the first quarter that will potentially be offset by stimulus measures, said its analysts in a report last week.

Even though consumption will bounce back, the recovery will not be as strong as after the SARS outbreak of 2002 to 2003, as there will be "demand destruction," said Martin Petch, a senior credit officer at Moody's Investors Service.

"I think this time around there will be some demand which has been essentially destroyed," Petch told CNBC's "Squawk Box."

"People haven't traveled during Lunar New Year for example, and it's unlikely after this period of slower consumer demand that they'll double up on restaurant spending. For example, they won't go twice as many times in the coming quarters," Petch added.

Natixis: Downgrades from 5.7% to 5.5%

The immediate impact of of the coronavirus outbreak will be worse than that during the severe acute respiratory syndrome virus outbreak of 2002 to 2003 as the service sector is now China's key growth engine, said Alicia Garcia Herrero and Jianwei Xu, economists at Natixis.

"Based on the SARS's experience, the service sector is likely to be more severely affected than the manufacturing sector, especially for the transportation sector, which is an important component of services," they wrote. China's economic growth is also going through a structural deceleration due to an aging population and is at the end of a long urbanization process, they added.

"In other words, the coronavirus is hitting a weaker economy than was the case with SARS," they wrote.

Nomura: 'Significantly lower' than 6.1%

Nomura said that "the worst is yet to come" in the outbreak as the Chinese government acts on all front to contain the virus after its initial slow reaction.

Nomura analyst Ting Lu said in an email to CNBC last week that China's annual GDP growth could be "significantly" lower than the 6.1% in 2019.

The Japanese bank said that the economic impact of the coronavirus could be worse than during the SARS epidemic of 2002 to 2003.

Richard Bernstein Advisors: Fears will 'knock stuffing out' of growth

"The coronavirus is a serious issue and there is nothing positive to say about it," said Richard Bernstein Advisors, an investment firm.

It was bleak on the outlook in the first half of the year.

"To be frank, the attempts to contain the coronavirus and the associated public fears will knock the stuffing out of China's 1Q20 and potentially 2Q20 GDP and profits," said the firm in a note last week.

Beijing will likely respond to the economic impact of the coronavirus with even more monetary and fiscal stimulus on top what what is already in the pipeline.

"If the virus is contained within the next several months, then Chinese GDP could be significantly stronger than expected during late-2020 and early-2021."

Vanguard: Maintains at 5.8%

The main impact on China's economic growth is likely to be that on sentiment, said Qian Wang, Vanguard's Asia Pacific chief economist.

"The good news is that the Chinese government has taken serious actions quickly," said Wang in a note.

The investment advisor is maintaining its outlook for China's 2020 GDP growth at 5.8%, although the risk is clearly tilted toward the downside, she added.

The viral outbreak will threaten China's growth in the near-term, but Vanguard said there is potential for a rebound in the second half of the year due to anticipated government stimulus.

UBS: Downgrades from 6% to 5.5%

UBS is downgrading its forecast for China's growth in 2020 from its previous 6.0% estimate to 5.5%.

"We believe China's aggressive measures to contain the virus, including quarantining, as well as preventive measures in other countries like flight cancellations, and border controls, will ultimately prove effective," wrote Mark Haefele, global chief investment officer.

Still, "these measures will contribute to a near-term negative economic shock, as a result of curtailed consumer demand and supply chain disruptions," Haefele added in a report last week.

Assuming successful containment of the virus, growth will rebound in future quarters due to pent-up demand and potential government stimulus, he said.

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2020-02-05 02:38:00Z
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Coronavirus news: Chinese doctor was warned to keep quiet after sounding the alarm on coronavirus weeks ago - CBS News

A Chinese doctor who tried to raise the alarm about the new coronavirus before it was even identified was threatened by his government to stop "making false comments." He has since been diagnosed with the illness himself and is being lauded on Chinese social media as a hero for speaking out.

BBC News reports that ophthalmologist Li Wenliang, who works at one of the main hospitals in the epicenter city of Wuhan, noticed a cluster of cases of a flu-like illness near the end of December that appeared to him to be similar to the SARS virus that swept across the world in 2003. He sent a message to fellow clinicians on a group chat warning them to don protective clothing.

BBC News said, just four days later, officials visited him and accused him of having "severely disturbed the social order." They presented him with an official letter, stating: "We solemnly warn you: If you keep being stubborn, with such impertinence, and continue this illegal activity, you will be brought to justice — is that understood?" He signed it.

A week later he contracted the new coronavirus from a patient he was treating who had glaucoma. He was only diagnosed himself a couple of weeks later, and then on January 30, he posted to China's popular social media app Weibo to confirm he had the virus. That post got thousands of comments, and many Chinese voiced support.

"Dr Li Wenliang is a hero," one person wrote, expressing concern that the government's handling of his honesty could scare other Chinese health professionals. "In the future, doctors will be more afraid to issue early warnings when they find signs of infectious diseases."

The coronavirus has continued to spread worldwide, with more than 20,500 confirmed cases and at least 427 deaths. The vast majority of the infections, and all but two of the deaths, were in mainland China. The World Health Organization has declared a global health emergency.

There were 11 cases confirmed in the U.S. as of Tuesday, including six in California, one in Washington state, one in Arizona, two in Illinois and one in Massachusetts. More than 80 other Americans were being tested for the virus. The U.S. government declared a public health emergency last week and barred foreign nationals from entering the country within two weeks of visiting China unless they are immediate family members of U.S. citizens or permanent residents.

According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the new virus can cause symptoms including fever, cough and shortness of breath. Some patients only show mild symptoms and recover, but others have developed life-threatening complications like pneumonia. 

Coronavirus screenings LAX
Air China employees at LAX Tom Bradley International Terminal on February 2, 2020, in Los Angeles. David McNew / Getty

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2020-02-04 20:48:00Z
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