Sabtu, 22 Juni 2019

Trump Announces New Iran Sanctions, Saying Iran Cannot Have Nuclear Weapon - NPR

President Donald Trump speaks to reporters on the South Lawn of the White House Saturday before boarding Marine One for the trip to Camp David in Maryland. Susan Walsh/AP hide caption

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Susan Walsh/AP

President Trump says he is imposing new sanctions on Iran.

"We're moving forward with additional sanctions on Iran," the president said, speaking to reporters Saturday outside the White House. "Some of them are in place. As you know, we have about as strong a sanction grouping as you could possibly have on any country, but we're putting additional sanctions on."

He did not offer specifics on those sanctions, but suggested sanctions could be lifted in the future.

"We're not going to have Iran have a nuclear weapon," Trump said. "And when they agree to that, they are going to have a wealthy country, they're going to be so happy, and I'm going to be their best friend."

Trump last year withdrew the U.S. from a deal brokered by President Obama that lifted sanctions on Iran in exchange for abandoning its nuclear weapons program. Since then, Trump has attempted to use an economic tactic called "maximum pressure," in other words, reimposing sanctions. On Thursday, Iran hit a U.S. surveillance drone, days after the U.S. accused Iran of hitting two foreign-owned oil tankers traveling in the Strait of Hormuz.

In his comments, the president also defended his decision Thursday to cancel a strike on Iran after he says he learned the strike would kill 150 people. The strike was intended to retaliate for Iran shooting down the American drone, The New York Times first reported.

"I didn't like the idea of them knowingly shooting down an unmanned drone and then we kill 150 people," Trump elaborated Saturday.

"I don't want to kill 150 Iranians," he continued.

Karim Sadjadpour, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said Iran is suffering under soaring inflation, high unemployment, and the departure of educated citizens and capital.

"The Iranian economy is really deteriorating as a result of these sanctions and I don't see how they're going to be able to reverse it absent some type of an eventual accommodation or negotiation with the United States," Sadjadpour told NPR's Scott Simon on Weekend Edition.

Sadjadpour estimated that, "We will continue to see this escalatory cycle. It may be that Iran tries to wait out the Trump presidency, hoping that by November of 2020 a more moderate Democrat will be elected."

Congressional leaders have pushed for more input into U.S. strategy.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said Friday that leading lawmakers had met with the president after they learned about his decision to initiate, then cancel, a strike on Iran.

"Democratic Leaders emphasized that hostilities must not be initiated without the approval of Congress," Pelosi said in a statement. "We have no illusions about the dangerous conduct of the Iranian regime. This is a dangerous, high-tension situation that requires a strong, smart and strategic approach."

Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., wrote that he appreciated the president's "desire to be measured and thoughtful when it comes to Iranian provocations." He said he hoped that if Iran follows through on its threat to restart nuclear enrichment, the U.S. "will make this a Red Line."

Trump told reporters Saturday that American oil and gas production is so large that the U.S. no longer depends on the Strait of Hormuz for oil transport. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said the U.S. will keep the shipping routes open in the Gulf of Oman, and Trump said that is mainly to the benefit of China, Japan, Indonesia, and other countries.

"We're doing them a very big service by keeping the Straits open, but this is not about the Straits, this is about, Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon," Trump said.

Reporters asked the president whether he had confidence in his National Security Advisor, John Bolton. "Yeah, I do." Trump said. "Because I have John Bolton, who I would definitely say is a hawk, and I have other people that are on the other side of the equation, and ultimately I make the decisions, so it doesn't matter."

The question came after Fox host Tucker Carlson accused Bolton of "demented" logic in advocating invading Iraq.

"John Bolton is a kind of bureaucratic tapeworm. Try as you might, you can't expel him," Carlson said. "His life really is Washington in a nutshell, blunder into obvious catastrophes again and again, refuse to admit blame, and then demand more of the same."

Trump, however, said, "John Bolton is doing a good job."

Trump also expanded on plans of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to arrest and deport thousands of migrant families across the country.

He called ICE "a group of very, very good law enforcement people going by the law, going by the rules, going by our court system, and taking people out of our country who came into our country illegally."

The president praised Mexico for its role in stemming illegal immigration.

"I want to thank Mexico. So far, Mexico has been really good. They made an agreement, probably, not probably, because of tariffs, but they made an agreement and so far, they've really honored the agreement," he said.

Earlier in June, Trump had threatened to impose tariffs unless Mexico agreed to tighten its border and reduce the flow of migrants crossing illegally into the U.S. NPR's Carrie Kahn reported that the mission will be difficult.

"Mexico has very limited resources," Kahn said. "And this new government has cut its budgets for the immigration and refugee programs under the president's new austerity program. So it's going to be tough to take even more asylum seekers."

In response, Mexico agreed to deploy its National Guard and to keep more Central American migrants.

On another topic, the president on Saturday again rebuffed a claim by advice columnist E. Jean Carroll that Trump sexually assaulted her in a Bergdorf Goodman dressing room in the mid '90s.

"It's a totally false accusation," Trump said. "I have absolutely no idea who she is."

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https://www.npr.org/2019/06/22/735029924/trump-we-re-moving-forward-with-additional-sanctions-on-iran

2019-06-22 17:39:00Z
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Trump: Let's make Iran great again - CNN

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y9azO-IZcCw

2019-06-22 17:06:53Z
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White House unveils economic component of Middle East peace plan | TheHill - The Hill

The White House has released the economic portion of its long-promised Middle East peace plan, which calls for $50 billion in new investment to aid Palestinians and neighboring Arab states, as well as the building of new infrastructure to connect the West Bank and Gaza.

The plan unveiled on Saturday, called "Peace to Prosperity," calls for investment in infrastructure, private-sector growth and regional development, among other areas, in order to "empower the Palestinian people to build a prosperous and vibrant Palestinian society."

It's being touted by the Trump administration as "the most ambitious and comprehensive international effort for the Palestinian people to date."

White House senior adviser Jared KushnerJared Corey KushnerManafort, Hannity talk Trump, Mueller in previously undisclosed messages Trump's Israel-Palestine plan is all smoke and mirrors The Hill's 12:30 Report — Presented by MAPRx — Trump jumps into 2020 race MORE, the architect of the Trump administration's peace plan, is expected to formally introduce the economic component at a conference in Bahrain next week. It will only be implemented if a political solution is reached between Palestinians, Israelis and other actors in the region.

According to the plan, around half of the $50 billion in aid would go to Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza over a 10-year period, while the other half would be split among other Arab countries in the region. 

The plan also calls for boosting the tourism sector in Palestinian lands, as well as providing better access to education and job-training programs. 

Doubts have swirled around the administration's much-touted peace plan, which has been in the works nearly as long as President TrumpDonald John TrumpThe global economy is a soap opera, expect some plot twists Huawei sues US government over seized equipment Trump defends planned ICE deportations MORE has been in office. Last Sunday, the White House's special envoy Jason Greenblatt said the political portion of the peace plan could be delayed until November.

His comments came after the White House decided to delay the rollout, which had at one point been pitched by Kushner for June, after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin (Bibi) NetanyahuMORE failed to form a governing coalition.

Trump himself also damped expectations for the plan after reports that Secretary of State Mike PompeoMichael (Mike) Richard PompeoTrump critic Brennan praises his Iran decision: I 'applaud' him Pence to postpone speech on China policy ahead of G-20 meeting between Trump, Xi The Hill's 12:30 Report — Presented by MAPRx — Trump calls off Iran strike at last minute MORE had cast doubt on it in a closed-door meeting later reported by the Washington Post.

“It may be rejected. Could be in the end, folks will say, ‘It’s not particularly original, it doesn’t particularly work for me,’ that is, ‘It’s got two good things and nine bad things, I’m out,’ ” Pompeo said, according to an audio recording obtained by the Post.

Asked by reporters to comment on his top diplomat's remarks, Trump said, "Look, we’re doing our best to help the Middle East to get a peace plan, and he [Pompeo] may be right. I mean, most people would say that."

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https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/449847-white-house-unveils-economic-component-of-middle-east-peace-plan

2019-06-22 15:51:12Z
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US finds itself isolated in Iran conflict - The Hill

President TrumpDonald John TrumpThe global economy is a soap opera, expect some plot twists Huawei sues US government over seized equipment Trump defends planned ICE deportations MORE’s opportunity at next week’s G-20 summit to reset U.S. relations with close allies is a particularly timely one, for it comes as Washington suffers the downsides of its frayed relations in connection with one of its biggest global challenges of the moment — its rising tensions with Iran.

After launching a pressure campaign against Iran by withdrawing from the 2015 global nuclear deal and re-imposing economic sanctions that are squeezing Iran’s economy and causing serious hardship among its people, Washington is now blaming Tehran for recent attacks on tankers in the Gulf of Oman and sending another 1,000 troops to the region to monitor Iranian activities and protect the troops already there.

And yet, in its efforts to force Tehran to negotiate new limits on its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, and to abandon its wicked ways in the region and beyond, it is Washington that finds itself largely alone.

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Particularly telling are the suspicions in European capitals and elsewhere that Trump’s fingering of Tehran for the tanker attacks looks eerily like the events of 1964 that prompted the Gulf of Tonkin resolution — which gave President Lyndon Johnson broad authority to wage the Vietnam War but which later raised suspicions that he invented or exaggerated the North Vietnamese attack that drove the resolution.

“There’s a lot of suspicion in Europe about American motives,” a French defense analyst told the New York Times in a sentiment echoed by others. “The maritime milieu is especially susceptive to manipulation — remember the Gulf of Tonkin.”

In essence, the chickens of Trump’s unilateralism, his efforts to pressure U.S. allies to back his policies rather than convince them to do so, his threats to impose tariffs on them if he doesn’t get his way, his sometimes sizable swings in policy on such issues as North Korea’s nuclear program, and his propensity to slight the leaders of allied nations on a personal level, are all coming home to roost.

To be sure, the United States and its allies agree that Iran is a dangerous regional player, that it will be much more dangerous if it develops nuclear weaponry, and that the global community should contain it. But on each major aspect of the Iranian challenge, the United States and its allies are moving in different directions.

On the nuclear deal, Tehran shrewdly widened the breach between America and its allies by announcing that, by the end of this month, it will exceed the deal’s limits on Iranian stockpiles of low-enriched uranium — unless the Europeans find a way for Iran to evade U.S. sanctions. The regime also threatened to enrich its uranium to a higher purity, which would make converting the fuel to a nuclear-grade level much easier.

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Washington and Europe’s signatories to the deal (Britain, France, and Germany) have been moving in starkly different directions on the deal for some time. When Trump withdrew, the Europeans sought to work with Iran to salvage the deal. When Trump re-imposed sanctions, European leaders sought (though so far without success) to create a system that would enable its firms to continue doing business with Iran and evade the sanctions by participating in a system of barter trade.

As for the tanker attacks, one need not be a Trump supporter or a hardline Iran critic to believe that Tehran was behind them.

For one thing, such attacks would signal a return to Iran’s maritime mischief of decades earlier, which prompted the U.S. Navy to destroy half of Iran’s fleet in 1988 after an Iranian naval mine nearly sank a U.S. frigate in the Persian Gulf. For another, even House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam SchiffAdam Bennett SchiffHouse Intelligence Committee to subpoena Trump associate Felix Sater Schiff introduces bill to strengthen law barring campaigns from accepting foreign dirt Lawmakers spar at testy Mueller hearing MORE, a fierce Trump critic, acknowledged the overwhelming evidence that Iran is to blame.

Nevertheless, Trump’s credibility issues, and America’s lingering credibility issues related to Iraq and the ill-fated search for weapons of mass destruction, have left our closest allies wary of believing U.S. contentions.

Such wariness could complicate any U.S. effort to protect ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Since the United States reportedly lacks the requisite number of ships to do the job itself, it would need to build a coalition of nations that our disgusted and distrustful allies may be reluctant to join.

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We are a long way from the days of the Cuban Missile Crisis, when French President Charles de Gaulle told former Secretary of State Dean Acheson that he didn’t need to see the proof of Soviet missile activity in Cuba because “The word of the President of the United States is good enough for me.”

At next week’s G-20 gathering in Osaka, Trump would be wise to begin repairing the damage of more recent times.

Lawrence J. Haas, senior fellow at the American Foreign Policy Council, is the author of, most recently, "Harry and Arthur: Truman, Vandenberg, and the Partnership That Created the Free World."

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https://thehill.com/opinion/international/449827-us-finds-itself-isolated-in-iran-conflict

2019-06-22 15:30:12Z
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Tucker Carlson Was One of the People Who Talked Trump Out of Attacking Iran - Slate Magazine

Fox News host Tucker Carlson speaks during the National Review Institute's Ideas Summit at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel March 29, 2019 in Washington, D.C.

Fox News host Tucker Carlson speaks during the National Review Institute’s Ideas Summit at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel March 29, 2019 in Washington, D.C.

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

When President Donald Trump was considering military options against Iran he suddenly grew “frustrated” with John Bolton, his national security adviser, and the way he seemed to constantly advocate for a strike, reports the AP. So he started broadening his scope and seeking out advice from others, including Tucker Carlson. The Fox News host had a different take than most of his hawkish advisers, insisting that a military strike would not be in the country’s best interests and that it would severely hurt his re-election chances, according to the New York Times. Although there is no indication that Carlson’s voice was the deciding factor in ultimately calling off the strike, he does at least seem to have been one of the ones who planted a seed of doubt in his mind.

Despite the dramatic nature of initial reports, military planes weren’t already in the air when Trump decided to call off the strikes. The president confirmed it as much during an interview with NBC’s Chuck Todd for Meet the Press. “No,” he answered when asked if planes were already in the air, “but they would have been pretty soon, and things would have happened to a point where you would not turn back, you could not turn back.” Trump said at the last minute he decided to ask his generals how many people would be killed in the strike and was told approximately 150.

“I thought about it for a second and I said, you know what, they shot down an unmanned drone, plane, whatever you want to call it, and here we are sitting with a 150 dead people that would have taken place probably within a half an hour after I said go ahead,” Trump said. “And I didn’t like it, I didn’t think, I didn’t think it was proportionate.”

Some are raising doubts about this timeline though. One official who talked to the Times said that the estimate was from a lawyer and not a general. The Pentagon lawyer who came up with the figure was drawing up a worst case scenario and didn’t take into account a multitude of factors that generals thought could reduce that number. In the end, it was White House lawyers, and not the generals, who allegedly conveyed that number to Trump, who then called off the strike.

Trump insisted in his interview with NBC that he doesn’t want to go to war with Iran but there will be “obliteration like you’ve never seen before” if it comes to that.

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https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/06/tucker-carlson-talked-trump-out-of-iran-attack.html

2019-06-22 14:52:00Z
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Where was the U.S. drone when Iran shot it down? - Washington Post

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UoAnRqSBtQ4

2019-06-22 13:53:22Z
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Iranian views from the street: Trump playing 'childish dare game' - Aljazeera.com

Tehran, Iran – "If we go to war, it will push us back a hundred years. Do I like going to war? No, but I'll go if I have to," Amirhossein Eliasi, who runs a fruit shop in central Tehran, told Al Jazeera.

This fatalistic sentiment seems to carry the day among many Iranians in the capital on Friday, a day after a military escalation that, according to US President Donald Trump, brought the two nations to the edge of open conflict.

Indeed, a quick loss of temper by Trump or a simple miscalculation by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) could drag the country's population of 80 million into a devastating war with the United States, many Iranians fear.

But despite the looming threat, many seem to stoically go about their daily lives, too busy to make ends meet amid crippling US sanction, put in place by Trump after he unilaterally exited his country out of the 2015 nuclear deal last year in May.

Trump said on Friday that he cancelled, at the last minute, a military strike on Iran, which he said he ordered in retaliation against the shooting down of a US surveillance drone. The IRGC says it shot down the US Global Hawk drone with a surface-to-air missile on Thursday, after giving out several warnings for it to leave Iran's airspace. Washington says the drone was hit while flying over international waters.

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The US president said he aborted the planned attack on three sites, which US military advisers estimated could kill 150 Iranians. Trump said he stopped the attack because it would not be a proportionate response to the destruction of the drone.

"They had sent a plane to gather information on our country," Eliasi, the fruit seller, told Al Jazeera. "The IRGC did the right thing to shoot it down," he added. 

"My job is to run a shop and I'm not an educated person. But what I see is that Trump is a crazy person. I swear to God he is crazy. He needs to be confronted," the 50-year-old told Al Jazeera on Friday.

Since the start of Trump's "maximum pressure" campaign, much has changed for Iran's middle class; costs of doing business and living expenses have skyrocketed. The sanctions, including those aiming to bring Iran's vital oil exports to zero, have led to a nearly 60 percent drop in the value of Iran's currency, the rial.

The economic crisis has taken its toll on Eliasi's business, too. Now, he says, his earnings cover the costs of his shop alone and he hardly makes enough money to take care of his family, including his 10-year-old daughter, Bahar, present at the shop to help her father.

"If they come and give us a couple of slaps in the face, am I supposed to just stand there and watch?" Eliasi asks rhetorically.

"The government should either make concessions or stand and fight. I would be the first person to fight in a war. And I know that America can't do anything. They have more to lose than me and you."

'America's fault'

Reza recently finished his military service in his hometown in northeastern Iran and now started working in the capital to build a life.

"If there is war, I won't be happy but maybe it is better that way. The country is already a mess," the 20-year-old shopkeeper told Al Jazeera.

Others are less pessimistic.

"I don't think there will be a war," Pooria, a software engineer told Al Jazeera. "But maybe that's just wishful thinking," she quickly added.

"I was horrified this morning when I saw the news. I never thought the threat was so close. But after I read the news, I realised … a careless incident like hitting a ship or shooting a plane could easily mess things up. And the level of foolishness on both sides is high. It's like a childish dare game."

The 35-year-old resident of eastern Tehran blames the current situation on Washington's moves in the past months.

"If a war starts, it is America's fault. It is America's fault a hundred percent," she said.

"The US left the nuclear deal. They shouldn't have left the deal. If Iran has other interests in the region, you need to sit and talk about those but you should not leave an existing deal. This led to mistrust. Because of this move, hardliners here can argue that the US cannot be trusted. And this could shut the door to any new negotiations."

Maximum pressure policy

The Trump administration says its "maximum pressure" policy aims to force Iran to negotiate a new nuclear deal that should also address Iran's ballistic missile programme, as well as regional military activities.

The International Atomic Energy Agency has confirmed Iran has abided by the nuclear deal, but Tehran has threatened to breach its commitments, if the EU and other parties fail to help Iran benefit economically from the accord.

Iran has said it will not negotiate under pressure.

Aram, a 27-year-old art graduate, said despite carelessness on both sides, she was positive that talks could be in progress through back channels.

"A war is not in the regime's best interest," she told Al Jazeera. "I'm against war or a revolution. I want reforms. I want good changes to happen [through a peaceful process], even though this seems far-fetched."

The psychological burden of Iran's escalated tensions with the US, has been pushing many young people to leave the country, applying for universities abroad or using other means to emigrate.

The effect of the standoff has been felt even by Bahar, Eliasi's 10-year-old daughter.

"This is what it is and we can't fix it," she told Al Jazeera, standing next to her father.

"It is America's, Trump's and Iran's fault. If they never fought and they lived in peace, these things wouldn't have happened. And people wouldn't have to flee their own country."

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https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/06/iranian-views-street-trump-playing-childish-game-190622100239743.html

2019-06-22 12:57:00Z
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