Trade talks on hold
'Fight for a new world'
https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/15/asia/china-xi-jinping-us-civilization-intl/index.html
2019-05-15 06:46:00Z
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The Volkswagen T-Cross model stands on a lifting platform in a car tower on the Volkswagen factory premises.
picture alliance | picture alliance | Getty Images
President Donald Trump's next trade battle could involve the U.S. slapping steep tariffs on auto imports from Europe — but that wouldn't really be the White House's ultimate goal, one expert said Wednesday.
Instead, such a move may well prove to be a "Trojan horse" for a bigger deal on agriculture, according to David Hauner, head of cross-asset strategy and economics for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Now that Trump has imposed more tariffs on Chinese goods, all eyes are turning to a potentially brewing trade war between the U.S. and Europe. The president had threatened as early as last year that he would slap a 25% tariff on car imports from the European Union. So far, however, the tariffs have not been imposed — but Trump is due to make a decision on European auto imports by May 18.
According to Hauner, however, the White House may have a tough road ahead.
"We think there will at least be an attempt by the U.S. to push for some sort of concessions from Europe. It's gonna be very difficult particularly if Trump actually starts a discussion about agriculture," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box."
He added: "Some say that car tariffs might ... be a Trojan horse to actually start discussions about agriculture, because that's where really the big business for the U.S. and Europe would be. Agriculture and Europe is politically very very sensitive when it comes to allowing American imports."
Farmers — a key political constituency for Trump — have seen their fortunes suffering from the trade war with China, and that's potentially a concern for the president ahead of his 2020 re-election bid.
Since his tariff threat against European autos, Trump has met the president of the European Commission, the EU's executive body, and both decided to seek an agreement over trade and avoid tariffs. Nearly a year since their meeting, both sides have yet to start those official trade talks.
But analysts have pegged the tariffs on Chinese goods as a sign of what's to come for Europe. Last Monday, European auto stocks fell more than 3% following Trump's tariffs announcement over the weekend.
There could still be a deal as long as the U.S. keeps the trade discussions with the European Union to autos only, according to Hauner.
But, he said, "If the discussion will include agriculture, then it gets really, really dicey."
"Europe is really collateral damage here because Europe has not enough domestic growth. It really depends so much on trade and that is now really its Achilles' heel," Hauner added.
According to the Office of the United States Trade Representative, U.S. imports for consumed agricultural products from EU countries totaled $23.9 billion in 2018, while U.S. agricultural goods exports to the EU was $13.5 billion.
Auto imports from EU countries were worth $56.4 billion. Overall, the U.S. goods trade deficit with EU countries was $169.3 billion in 2018, an 11.8% increase over 2017, according to the USTR.
Since taking office, Trump has called out major trading partners including the EU, China and Canada for what he's deemed unfair practices that hurt American workers and companies.
Any U.S. tariffs on European cars would hit Germany's important automobile industry particularly hard. The United States is Germany's most important single export destination after the bloc of EU countries.
— Reuters and CNBC's Yen Nee Lee contributed to this report.
CNN's John Defterios contributed to this report

A magnitude 7.5 earthquake has struck Papua New Guinea, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
There were no immediate reports of injuries or damage.
A tsunami alert was issued for Papua New Guinea and the Solomon Islands but was later cancelled.
The epicenter of the quake was about 28 miles northeast of Kokopo, in New Britain province. The city is on a smaller island northeast of the main island and about 495 from the the capital of Port Moresby.
Papua New Guinea sits on the Pacific "Ring of Fire," named for its active volcanoes and earthquakes. About 90 percent of Earth's quakes happen along this 25,000-mile horseshoe that loops from South America to Europe and back down to the coast off Australia.
A magnitude 7. 2 quake struck the country's main island on May 7, but no injuries or damage were reported.
In the past century, 36 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or larger have been reported within 150 miles of the epicenter of today's quake. Three of those were magnitude 8.0 or larger, including one in November 2000 that triggered landslides and at least one death, and left thousands homeless.
The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

May 14 13:07: Magnitude recalculated from 7.3 to 7.4.
May 14 13:11: Magnitude recalculated from 7.4 to 7.3.
May 14 13:17: Magnitude recalculated from 7.3 to 7.6.

| Time | Mag. / Depth | Location | Source | |
| Tue, 14 May 2019 | ||||
| Tue, 14 May 12:58 UTC | M 7.5 / 10 km | New Britain Region, P.n.g. (Papua New Guinea) | EMSC | |
| Tue, 14 May 12:58 UTC | M 7.5 / 10 km | 45km NE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea | USGS | |
Kokopo, ENB, PNG / MMI IX (Violent shaking): Violent shaking the house almost to fall. Kokopo, Kenabot.
Madang / not felt
Gelegele / MMI VI (Strong shaking): Violent shaking and uplift force towards the end. No structural damage to permanent house and have not felt one like this for a long time.Kokopo
Rabaul / MMI VII (Very strong shaking): Was in the house with my family. My wife and two daughters. My daughters 4 and 2 years were fast asleep. My wife was playing game in her phone and I was watching movies. Suddenly the House was shaken and really frightening. I got hold of my big girl and my wife held another, we got out of the house cos we felt the house could be down in any moment.
Sydney / not felt
Neumünster / not felt
NONGA HOSPITAL, ENBP / MMI VI (Strong shaking): The whole house shook and things on the shelf and fridge all fell to the floor.
Lihir island / MMI V (Moderate shaking): Started at 22.51 and second trembling 22.59 third at 23.03 all make the house move at Lihir island png
Kokopo / MMI IX (Violent shaking)
Lihir Island, New Ireland Province / MMI V (Moderate shaking)

President Trump on Tuesday said that a deal with China will happen “when the time is right,” and only after the U.S. is allowed to “make up” ground he says was lost after the formation of the World Trade Organization.
“When the time is right we will make a deal with China. My respect and friendship with President Xi is unlimited but, as I have told him many times before, this must be a great deal for the United States or it just doesn’t make any sense,” Trump said as part of a lengthy tweetstorm.
The tweets come after the U.S. last week began increasing tariffs from 10 percent to 25 percent on $200 billion of Chinese goods. China responded by upping tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. goods.
But both sides have expressed willingness to come together and make a trade deal to cool the escalating trade war between the two superpowers. A Chinese delegation was in Washington last week, and while talks broke off Friday, both sides have indicated that further talks will happen.
However, the Trade Representative's Office listed a further $300 billion of Chinese goods for possible tariffs on Monday, while the Chinese government warned it was prepared to “fight to the finish” in response to U.S. action.
WHY THE US-CHINA TRADE WAR COULD SETTLE THE 2020 ELECTION IN 2019
Trump has repeatedly said that the trade structure between the two countries is imbalanced, and has sought to rectify that. The Trump administration started placing tariffs on Chinese goods last year. He pointed his finger on Tuesday at the WTO, whose formation he said is at least partly responsible for U.S. losses on trade.
“We have to be allowed to make up some of the tremendous ground we have lost to China on Trade since the ridiculous one sided formation of the WTO,” he said. “It will all happen, and much faster than people think!”
CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP
Responding to fears that a trade war with China could hurt American farmers, Trump said that they would in fact be “the biggest beneficiaries of what is happening now.”
“Hopefully China will do us the honor of continuing to buy our great farm product, the best, but if not your Country will be making up the difference based on a very high China buy,” he said. “This money will come from the massive Tariffs being paid to the United States for allowing China, and others, to do business with us.”
Trump has touted his relationship with Xi, and said Monday he will meet with the Chinese premier during the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan at the end of June.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.

President Trump on Tuesday said that a deal with China will happen “when the time is right,” and only after the U.S. is allowed to “make up” ground he says was lost after the formation of the World Trade Organization.
“When the time is right we will make a deal with China. My respect and friendship with President Xi is unlimited but, as I have told him many times before, this must be a great deal for the United States or it just doesn’t make any sense,” Trump said as part of a lengthy tweetstorm.
The tweets come after the U.S. last week began increasing tariffs from 10 percent to 25 percent on $200 billion of Chinese goods. China responded by upping tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. goods.
But both sides have expressed willingness to come together and make a trade deal to cool the escalating trade war between the two superpowers. A Chinese delegation was in Washington last week, and while talks broke off Friday, both sides have indicated that further talks will happen.
However, the Trade Representative's Office listed a further $300 billion of Chinese goods for possible tariffs on Monday, while the Chinese government warned it was prepared to “fight to the finish” in response to U.S. action.
WHY THE US-CHINA TRADE WAR COULD SETTLE THE 2020 ELECTION IN 2019
Trump has repeatedly said that the trade structure between the two countries is imbalanced, and has sought to rectify that. The Trump administration started placing tariffs on Chinese goods last year. He pointed his finger on Tuesday at the WTO, whose formation he said is at least partly responsible for U.S. losses on trade.
“We have to be allowed to make up some of the tremendous ground we have lost to China on Trade since the ridiculous one sided formation of the WTO,” he said. “It will all happen, and much faster than people think!”
CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP
Responding to fears that a trade war with China could hurt American farmers, Trump said that they would in fact be “the biggest beneficiaries of what is happening now.”
“Hopefully China will do us the honor of continuing to buy our great farm product, the best, but if not your Country will be making up the difference based on a very high China buy,” he said. “This money will come from the massive Tariffs being paid to the United States for allowing China, and others, to do business with us.”
Trump has touted his relationship with Xi, and said Monday he will meet with the Chinese premier during the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan at the end of June.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.