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Senin, 06 Mei 2019

Liberty Vittert: Meghan Markle, Prince Harry's baby is a BOY -- Here's why I knew they would welcome a son - Fox News

It's a boy! It's a boy! The Duke and Duchess of Sussex welcomed a baby boy into the world Monday morning and I couldn't be more excited – mostly because the baby is healthy, but if I'm completely honest it’s also because I get to say “told you so,” which I won't say, but I just did…!

A few weeks ago, I wrote an op-ed for Fox News Opinion using a mixture of statistics, common sense, and a little old wives’ intuition to predict that Baby Sussex would indeed be a boy, and telling readers that if you're the betting kind, then you should place your money on that.

MEGHAN MARKLE'S MOTHER, DORIA RAGLAND, OVERJOYED AT BIRTH OF DUCHESS' ROYAL BABY WITH PRINCE HARRY

The bookies may have been conflicted, but we used a bit of common sense to determine that, while there were reports that Meghan had announced the baby’s sex to her friends and family at her baby shower in New York City, this was quite unlikely to be true. Given the leaks and gossip coming out of Kensington Palace alone, it would be very surprising for Meghan to have released such a big secret to so many people.

As Monday’s news comes to a welcoming and very excited public, the next big prediction will be close on its heels: What is the baby’s name going to be?

We then took some science, starting with the initial chance that the baby would be a boy – which is 51 percent, not the 50/50 that most assume. We paired this with the fact that Meghan seemed not to suffer extreme morning sickness, swaying the odds further in favor of a boy.

How did we come to that conclusion? The Palace was silent when Meghan pulled out of events for being too tired, especially early in her pregnancy (which she was highly criticized for). But when Kate had a similar situation, the Palace was quick to explain her absence as due to a hospitalization for extreme morning sickness. Had this been the case for Meghan, I’m sure they would have supported her in the same manner. Extreme morning sickness points to a girl, so this is another reason why I concluded that the baby would more likely be a boy.

Add in the fact that scientific studies use stress and family situations to predict a baby’s sex – for a woman with a physically-demanding manual job or a woman having a baby on her own, without the father in the picture, odds favor a girl – neither of these being the case when it comes to Meghan.

All of the above pointed us toward Baby Sussex being a boy. And as Monday’s news comes to a welcoming and very excited public, the next big prediction will be close on its heels: What is the baby’s name going to be?

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Unfortunately, I am a statistician, and the predictions on baby names don’t tend to come with statistical models, so I will be just as curious and excited to find out the outcome as anyone else. Now, while those in glass houses shall not cast stones, let’s just hope it isn’t in line with the new age celebrity baby names (“Celery” comes to mind).

Still, as a statistician, I can’t help but make one more prediction: the next royal sibling for Baby Sussex will be … a boy.

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https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/liberty-vittert-baby-sussex-is-a-boy-i-called-it-now-for-a-name

2019-05-06 17:23:04Z
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Watch Prince Harry gleam as he announces birth of son - CNN

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https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2019/05/06/meghan-markle-harry-baby-boy-birth-vpx-duplicate-2.cnn

2019-05-06 15:21:36Z
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It's a boy: Prince Harry 'over the moon' after birth of his first child - The Boston Globe

‘‘This little baby is absolutely to die for,’’ he said. ‘‘I'm just over the moon.’’

The infant will be seventh in line to the British throne and Queen Elizabeth II’s eighth great-grandchild. Harry is the younger son of Prince Charles, the next in line to the throne, and the late Princess Diana, who died in a Paris car crash in 1997.

The child will be eligible for dual British-U.S. citizenship if Meghan and Harry want to go through the application process.

Harry, speaking before TV cameras on Monday afternoon was present for the birth, which he said was an amazing experience. The couple has said they didn’t find out the baby’s sex in advance.

Senor royals have been informed of the birth, as has the family of Princess Diana, Harry’s late mother.

Meghan, the Duchess of Sussex, was formerly known as Meghan Markle and was a TV star before retiring from acting to marry Harry at St. George’s Chapel on the grounds of Windsor Castle a year ago.

Journalists and well-wishers have camped out for days in Windsor, about 35 kilometers (22 miles) west of London, awaiting the baby’s arrival.

Meghan, a California native, had a starring role on the American TV series ‘‘Suits.’’ She had a previous marriage that ended in divorce and has strong feminist views. As the daughter of a black mother and a white father, she says she identifies as biracial.

Harry, who has said he wanted to protect his wife from intrusive media coverage, and Meghan have said they plan to keep many of the details of the birth private.

The birth marks the completion of Harry’s transformation from troubled teenager to committed military man to proud father. He has long spoken of his desire to start a family.

He and his older brother, Prince William, along with their wives, are seen by many in Britain as the new, fresh face of a royal family that had become stodgy and aged. They are raising the next generation of royals amid a genuine groundswell of public support for the monarchy.

Meghan in particular represents a change for the royals: She is American, older than her husband, divorced, and comes from a biracial background.

She also achieved considerable success in her own right before agreeing to a blind date with Harry that changed both their lives. Meghan had an important role in the popular TV series ‘‘Suits’’ and had a wide following even before she joined the world’s most famous royal family.

Harry and Meghan recently moved from central London to a secluded house known as Frogmore Cottage near Windsor Castle, 25 miles (40 kilometers) west of London. The move is seen in part as reflecting a desire for privacy as they raise their first child.

It also separates Harry and Meghan from William and his wife Kate, the Duchess of Cambridge, who had been living in the same compound at Kensington Palace in central London.

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https://www.bostonglobe.com/lifestyle/2019/05/06/beaming-prince-harry-says-just-over-moon-after-birth-his-first-child/UqHTmxwTvXFzOrHN1Gcl1N/story.html

2019-05-06 14:26:15Z
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Royal Baby: Meghan, Duchess of Sussex, Gives Birth to a Boy - The New York Times

LONDON — The Duke and Duchess of Sussex — better known as Prince Harry and Meghan Markle — on Monday welcomed their first child, a boy, the first interracial baby in the British monarchy’s recent history.

The newborn is seventh in line to the British throne, behind Prince Harry, whose marriage last year to Meghan brought historic change to the royal family. It is not clear whether the child will receive a royal title, like those bestowed on the three children of Prince William, Harry’s older brother, and William’s wife, Catherine.

Buckingham Palace said in a statement that Meghan gave birth at 5:26 a.m. — hours before the palace announced that she was in labor — and that her mother, Doria Ragland, was with the new parents. The newborn boy weighed 7 pounds, 3 ounces, the royal couple wrote on Instagram; a name had not been chosen yet.

The Queen, The Duke of Edinburgh, The Prince of Wales, The Duchess of Cornwall, The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge, Lady Jane Fellowes, Lady Sarah McCorquodale and Earl Spencer have been informed and are delighted with the news.
— The Royal Family (@RoyalFamily) May 6, 2019

The baby is sure to be the object of uncommon fascination, adored and criticized as a symbol of the modernization of Britain’s royal family.

“This little thing is absolutely to die for, so I’m just over the moon,” a beaming Prince Harry told reporters outside Frogmore Cottage, the couple’s residence near Windsor Castle. “Mother and baby are doing incredibly well. It’s been the most amazing experience I can ever possibly imagine. How any woman does what they do is beyond comprehension, and we’re both absolutely thrilled.”

Royal fans waiting for news on Monday in Windsor, England.CreditAdrian Dennis/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Harry, 34, and Meghan, 37, have shaken up the royal family in a number of ways: The duchess is an American and a former actress, and their wedding last May featured a gospel choir, a freestyling African-American bishop and a gaggle of Hollywood celebrities.

They continued to set aside convention after the wedding, opening their own Instagram account and offering little access to the royal-obsessed British news media. In April, they announced they were canceling the traditional photo opportunity outside the Lindo Wing at St. Mary’s Hospital in the heart of London, curtailing the ritual hullabaloo that usually surrounds royal births.

For many, the new baby’s importance will be indelibly linked with race.

Britain is 87 percent white, but interracial children make up its fastest-growing ethnic category, and will soon be the country’s largest minority group. The entry of Meghan Markle, the descendant of plantation slaves, into the royal family resonated deeply with many people of African descent, who almost immediately began to anticipate the birth of the couple’s first child.

“It’s hopeful for people of my kids’ generation to see a princess of mixed race,” said Lise Ragbir, who is black and has written of her own experience raising a lighter-skinned child.

Repeatedly, beginning when her daughter was 6 months old, she said, strangers have approached her to ask, “Is that your baby?”

“It will be such a recognizable baby that it could shift people’s awareness,” said Ms. Ragbir, 45, a gallery director in Austin, Tex. “When one of the most famous families in the world does not have the same skin tone, people might pause before asking a stranger, ‘Is that your baby?’”

Royal Baby Traditions Are Real. Harry and Meghan Are Shaking Them Up.

As Prince Harry and Meghan Markle prepare for the birth of their first child, we look at 100 years of royal family pictures from the New York Times archive.

Historians have noted that the duchess herself cannot be definitively described as the first interracial royal. Some scholars have argued that Queen Charlotte of Mecklenburg-Strelitz, the wife of King George III, had African ancestry through the Portuguese royal family. If true, it would have been passed on to her own descendant, Queen Victoria.

Prince Harry, in particular, has been alert for racism in the discussion of his young family.

In 2016, he took the unusual step of condemning British tabloids and social media commentators for the “racial undertones” and sexism of their coverage of Ms. Markle. Last year, the right-wing U.K. Independence Party ousted its leader after it was reported that his girlfriend had used racist language to deride the future duchess.

The duchess, the daughter of a white man and a black woman, has sidestepped discussions of race in the months before and after her wedding.

But as a young actress, she discussed it passionately. She described growing up in an overwhelmingly white neighborhood, where her mother was often mistaken for the nanny. As a seventh grader, she hesitated when she was asked to fill out a census form that identified her as either white or black.

“There I was (my curly hair, my freckled face, my pale skin, my mixed race) looking down at these boxes, not wanting to mess up, but not knowing what to do,” she wrote in an essay for Elle Magazine published in 2015.

When her teacher told her to check “Caucasian” because that was “how she looked,” she refused.

“I left my identity blank — a question mark, an absolute incomplete — much like how I felt,” she wrote. Her father advised her, “If that happens again, you draw your own box.”

Image

Royal-themed baby outfits for sale in Windsor.CreditBen Stansall/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

As the duchess’s due date approached, some Britons voiced concerns about the conversation around the child’s race.

“Colorism is definitely a huge thing, and I think that links into it, because if the child does come out darker skinned, then you know that’s going to make the news — and not for a good reason,” Tanya Compas, a youth worker, told the BBC’s “Woman’s Hour” program when the pregnancy was announced.

Kehinde Andrews, a professor of black studies at Birmingham City University, said most Britons would carefully sidestep the topic.

“It’s awkward, it’s uncomfortable, it brings up conversations about race and about slavery; and everyone wants to avoid it,” he said. “British media, and British people generally, just don’t like talking about race.”

This, he said, is in contrast to the United States, where slavery was an immediate physical reality. Britons, he said, whose own ancestors benefited from plantations in the Caribbean, “see slavery as something distant, both time-wise and, more importantly, geographically distant.”

Journalists have bridled at charges that their coverage of the royal family has been tainted by racism, pointing out that British news outlets have always been free to criticize the royals, whose luxurious lifestyle is supported by public funds.

The Royal Baby: Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about the birth of Meghan Markle and Prince Harry’s baby.

Among the sore points this year was the baby shower hosted by celebrity friends of the duchess in New York, a privately financed event that was said to cost 330,000 pounds, or more than $430,000.

“The clash comes when a free-spending American TV celebrity, the independent Ms. Markle, becomes the British queen’s granddaughter-in-law and joins soberer ornaments on the cracked marble mantelpiece of ancient royalty,” the journalist Libby Purves wrote in February in a column for The Times of London.

The Sussexes, in short, have become another front in the British culture wars, like the vegan sausage roll, or Brexit. The tabloids have pounced: Prince Harry is making a television series on mental health with (gasp) Oprah Winfrey! The duchess keeps hugging members of the public! They may choose an American nanny! Baby Sussex may not attend Eton!

Last fall, the couple announced they would move out of Kensington Palace, in central London, and take up residence about 25 miles west of the British capital in newly refurbished quarters: Frogmore Cottage, near Windsor Castle. There have been rumors that the couple could be dispatched in the next few years on an extended tour of Africa, where 19 nations, mostly former colonies, are members of the Commonwealth of Nations.

Those moves appeared to hint of a rift between Harry and his brother, William, observers said, but no concrete evidence has surfaced.

In April, the couple rolled out their own Instagram account, @sussexroyal, which has since been examined minutely for clues to the baby’s arrival.

The duchess hinted of her hopes for her child when speaking on a panel for International Women’s Day in March, saying she expects it to be a feminist.

Citing a phrase she had seen in a documentary about “the embryonic kicking of feminism” during pregnancy, she said, “I loved that, so boy or girl, whatever it is, we hope that that’s the case with our little bump.”

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https://www.nytimes.com/2019/05/06/world/europe/meghan-markle-baby-boy.html

2019-05-06 13:48:53Z
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Royal baby: Meghan in Labour with Prince Harry by her side - BBC News

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The Duchess of Sussex has gone into labour, Buckingham Palace has announced.

Meghan went into labour "in the early hours" of Monday morning, the palace said in a statement.

Prince Harry was by her side and a further announcement "will be made soon", it added.

The new arrival - whose sex is not yet known - will be the Queen's eighth great-grandchild, and seventh in line to the throne.

The infant will be behind the Prince of Wales, the Duke of Cambridge and his children - Prince George, Princess Charlotte and Prince Louis - and the Duke of Sussex.

Harry and Meghan have said they will only share the news of the baby's arrival once they have had a chance to celebrate privately as a family.

The couple announced the pregnancy publicly on 15 October 2018 - the first day of their royal tour of Australia and New Zealand.

The duchess was last seen on an official engagement on 19 March when she signed a book of condolences in London with Harry for the victims of the Christchurch terror attack.

The former actress and the duke moved into their renovated home Frogmore Cottage on the Windsor Estate at the beginning of April, as they prepared for their baby's arrival.

The baby will not be an HRH, or a prince or princess, unless the Queen steps in, because George V limited royal titles in 1917.

A boy will be able to use one of Harry's lesser titles and be known as the Earl of Dumbarton, but a girl is not allowed to become the Countess of Dumbarton because of male bias in the rules surrounding hereditary peer titles.

Instead, a daughter would be Lady (first name) Mountbatten-Windsor.

Harry and Meghan, a timeline

8 November 2016 - Kensington Palace releases a statement that confirms Prince Harry has been dating Meghan Markle "for a few months" and asks the press to respect their privacy

28 November 2017 - Harry and Meghan announce they are engaged to be married

15 December 2017 - Kensington Palace confirms the couple have chosen to wed in Windsor on 19 May the following year

19 May 2018 - Harry and Meghan are married in front of 600 guests at St George's Chapel and become the Duke and Duchess of Sussex

15 October 2018 - Kensington Palace announces the duchess is pregnant, and is due to give birth in Spring 2019

6 May 2019 - Buckingham Palace announces the duchess has gone into labour with the duke by her side

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https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-48178229

2019-05-06 13:30:00Z
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Russia: Aeroflot plane catches fire during emergency landing in Moscow- video report - The Guardian

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https://www.theguardian.com/global/video/2019/may/06/aeroflot-plane-catches-fire-during-emergency-landing-in-moscow-video

2019-05-06 12:45:00Z
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Dow braces for 500-point drop on return of trade war fears - CNN

Dow futures plunged about 500 points on Monday morning after President Donald Trump surprised investors by threatening to impose higher tariffs on China in a tweet.

The sudden escalation of US-China trade tensions deals a major blow to investors' expectations that Washington and Beijing would reach a trade deal in the near term. Trump's threats raise the risk of a prolonged fight between the world's two largest economies.

Heavy selling knocked the S&P 500 futures down by 1.6%, while Nasdaq futures tumbled more than 2%. The VIX, a market volatility index, jumped to its highest level since January.

"A big underpinning of the rally was this consensus that a trade deal with China would eventually get done," said Michael Block, market strategist at Third Seven Advisors. "This tweet may be a tactic but it has bulls unglued and playing what if."

World markets suffered even sharper losses as investors express concern about how tariffs and trade uncertainty will impact China's already-slowing economy. China's Shanghai Composite Index tumbled 5.6%, its worst one-day drop since February 2016, according to Refinitiv. The Shenzhen-based CSI 300 Index closed 5.8% lower. China's yuan dropped 0.8% against the US dollar in offshore trading. Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped almost 3%.

"Shocking escalation — even on Trump standards," Chris Krueger, analyst at Cowen Washington Research Group, wrote in a note to clients on Sunday.

On Sunday, Trump threatened on Twitter to increase tariff rates on $200 billion in imports from China to 25%, up from 10% currently. The president said the increase would take effect on Friday.

Investors are unsure if Trump is trying to apply more pressure to Beijing to get a deal done quickly, or if he intends to carry through on his threat, market analysts said. Either way, the threat increases the risk that the trade deal could come undone.

The threat also has negative implications for the outlook of other trade spats, including autos and the passage of the the USMCA deal that is set to replace NAFTA, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs.

"His move injects major uncertainty into negotiations, which now face a rising risk of an extended impasse — perhaps even through the US presidential election," Michael Hirson, head of China and Northeast Asia at the Eurasia Group, wrote in a note on Sunday.

China signaled on Monday it still plans to attend upcoming trade talks in Washington.

Goldman Sachs analysts said that while Trump's announcement "lowers the odds of a successful conclusion" to US-China trade negotiations, the firm thinks there is only a 40% chance that tariffs on China will go up on Friday.

"We believe an agreement is slightly more likely to be reached instead," Goldman Sachs wrote in a note to clients on Sunday.

Still, that represents quite the shift given the fact that US stocks had raced higher in recent months due in part to hopes of a US-China trade deal. The market's rebound was also driven by stronger economic reports and the Federal Reserve slamming the brakes on plans to raise interest rates.

"While the Fed's dovish policy pivot has been the biggest driver of the equity rally to date, future equity performance rests largely on optimism about a potential reacceleration and global economic and earnings growth in the second half," said Alec Young, managing director of global markets research at FTSE Russell. "Without a successful US-China trade breakthrough, it's much harder to be constructive on the global macro outlook."

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs over and over again over the past weeks. All three major indexes have posted double-digit percentage gains this year, recovering sharply from the late 2018 plunge.

Renewed trade tensions could slow down US economic growth by creating uncertainty and raising costs on businesses and households.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/06/investing/stock-market-today-dow-jones-trade-war/index.html

2019-05-06 12:17:00Z
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