Selasa, 28 Mei 2019

Meet the contenders hoping to become Britain's next prime minister - CNBC

The race to become the next leader of the Conservative Party, and consequently the next U.K. prime minister, has begun to accelerate with the first round of voting set to take place next week. 

Whoever wins will have the unenviable task of trying to deliver Brexit after a political deadlock — and three failed parliamentary votes — helped bring down Theresa May who resigned as leader on Friday.

CNBC takes a look at the Conservative lawmakers who are vying for power through the prism of Britain's withdrawal from the EU.

Boris Johnson

This is not the first Conservative leadership contest for the former foreign secretary and mayor of London, after he prematurely ended a previous attempt in 2016 that paved the way for May to enter Downing Street.

He is one of Britain's most globally prominent but domestically-divisive politicians. May brought him into her government in a senior role that left him responsible for Britain's presence on the world stage and frequently kept him away from Westminster.

He later resigned from his post as a result of May's willingness to lead the U.K. into what he called a "semi-Brexit" that would leave Britain as a "colony" of the European Union.

He has recently insisted that Britain must stick to the new October 31 Brexit deadline; that he would attempt to renegotiate the complex and contentious Northern Irish backstop contained within the Britain's withdrawal agreement with Brussels — something May tried and failed to do repeatedly. But absent changes to that backstop, Johnson has said he would take the U.K. out of Europe without a deal.

Boris Johnson is the bookmakers favorite to replace outgoing U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May.

Artur Widak | NurPhoto | Getty Images

Dominic Raab

The former minister tasked with handling Brexit negotiations for May after his predecessor David Davis resigned, Raab stayed in the role for a little more than four months before he too quit in protest at the deal May finally struck with the EU.

He called the deal a betrayal of Conservative Party manifesto promises made during the 2017 general election campaign, insisting that the Irish backstop was undemocratic and that the deal threatened the integrity of the United Kingdom because of regulatory differences it would introduce for Northern Ireland.

Raab is another leadership contender who says Britain must leave the EU on October 31, perhaps even without a deal, and he has hinted that it might be possible for a prime minister to pursue that course of action unilaterally, without parliamentary approval.

Britain's Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union Dominic Raab arrives in Downing Street in London, Britain, October 29, 2018. 

Henry Nicholls | Reuters

Andrea Leadsom

Her resignation as leader of the House of Commons made her the last of the three-dozen ministers who have stepped down from May's government in the past 13 months.

In a sign of the divisive nature of the Brexit process for those inside the British cabinet, she was the 31st minister to do so for reasons relating to the U.K.'s departure from the European Union.

In her role as Commons leader, Leadsom acted as the interface between the government and the lower chamber of the British parliament, a polarizing and at times difficult role during a period of heightened confrontation between the executive and legislature.

Leadsom's departure appears to have been the final straw for May's premiership, since it was within 48 hours that the embattled prime minister finally announced her Downing Street departure date. Leadsom had previously ceded her prime ministerial ambitions to May in 2016, to prevent a prolonged struggle between two final candidates in that most recent Conservative leadership race. But her raised public profile as a Leave campaigner during the Brexit referendum earlier that year had propelled her to the runner-up spot in that previous contest, despite her lack of cabinet-level experience.

Britain's Conservative Party's leader of the House of Commons Andrea Leadsom is seen outside Downing Street in London, Britain, April 1, 2019.

Henry Nicholls | Reuters

Esther McVey

The former work and pensions secretary under May, she resigned the same day as Dominic Raab and claimed that the prime minister's negotiated Brexit deal did not honor the result of the 2016 referendum.

In her resignation letter she repeated a common refrain among Conservative euroskeptics in recent months that the Northern Irish backstop contained in the withdrawal agreement would "trap" the U.K. in a permanent customs union with Europe, and would "bind the hands" of future governments that might seek to strike fresh trade deals.

Over the weekend, she told Sky News that what she called an "invisible border" between the Republic of Ireland and the United Kingdom is already technically possible, despite the EU's insistence that this is not yet the case. She argued that the U.K. must leave Europe on October 31, with or without a deal, and that politicians must regain the trust of the British public with an honest appraisal of the 2016 referendum result.

Conservative Party MP Esther McVey speaking at a Brexit:Lets Go WTO Rally organised by the Leave Means Leave campaign in Westminster, London, UK on January 17, 2019.

Vickie Flores/In Pictures via Getty Images

Sajid Javid

A former managing director at Deutsche Bank, Javid is the first member of an ethnic minority to serve as home secretary, the British equivalent to a minister of the interior with responsibility for immigration and security.

He took on the role after his predecessor resigned during a national scandal about their department's role in deporting legal residents whose residency paperwork the government had lost. In announcing his candidacy he said the dismal Conservative performance in the European parliamentary elections over the weekend showed that the party must deliver Brexit and do so quickly.

His personal backstory as the son of a bus driver is markedly different to that of many of his Conservative colleagues and competitors, but he too insists that restoring trust in British politics must be a priority. He originally voted to remain in the EU during 2016's referendum. This fact may work against Javid if he makes it through the parliamentary voting rounds to compete in a ballot of party members, since polls indicate that members' views on Brexit have become increasingly hardline and purist.

U.K. Home Secretary, Sajid Javid.

Getty Images

Matt Hancock

The minister responsible for Britain's health and social service system, he has previously worked as an economist at the Bank of England.

Hancock has written this week in British newspaper The Daily Mail that it is "mission critical" for the Conservative Party to complete the Brexit process, after its disastrous performance in European parliamentary elections.

He has tried to assure his fellow Conservative lawmakers that they would not need to go through a general election until after he has led them through Brexit as prime minister. But he has also made clear in a BBC radio interview that there must be "trade offs" between access to European markets and British sovereignty, in order to get a Brexit deal through the current parliament, he has indicated he would not be prepared to pursue a "no deal" policy.

Secretary of State for Health and Social Care Matt Hancock arrives for the weekly Cabinet meeting at 10 Downing Street on 21 May, 2019 in London, England.

Wiktor Szymanowicz / Barcroft Media via Getty Images

Michael Gove

One of the most high-profile Brexit supporters during the 2016 referendum, Gove's commitment to Brexit has never been in doubt, but he has also not insisted that October 31 must be a hard deadline for Britain to exit the EU.

He says he wants to unify his party and has implied that a deal with Brussels is ultimately the best way to do that. He damaged his reputation as a trustworthy politician for his decision to end his support for Boris Johnson during the last leadership contest in 2016, but even his political critics have acknowledged that he has proven himself a capable minister with innovative ideas. And according to one lawmaker who has campaigned for the rights of Europeans living in the U.K., Gove has promised this week that if he becomes prime minister then he will offer those roughly 3 million EU nationals the opportunity to obtain British citizenship free of charge.

Kevin Winter | Getty Images

Jeremy Hunt

The current foreign secretary has overnight reiterated in an article for British newspaper The Daily Telegraph his view that a "no deal" Brexit would be disastrous not only for the U.K., but would constitute "political suicide" for the Conservative Party as it would trigger a general election that would risk the party's "extinction."

Hunt has served in senior government roles for the best part of a decade, and oversaw Britain's hosting of the 2012 Olympics. He was a high-profile opponent of Brexit during the 2016 referendum campaign, but has publicly said he has reconciled himself with the need to honor the referendum result.

He replaced his Oxford University contemporary Boris Johnson as foreign secretary, and as the founder of a successful directory business before he entered government, he is the wealthiest member of the current cabinet. He has stated that his entrepreneurial acumen would help him renegotiate a better deal than May was able to reach with the EU.

Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs Jeremy Hunt speaks during the annual Conservative Party Conference on September 30, 2018 in Birmingham, England. 

Jeff J Mitchell | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Rory Stewart

As a relatively newly-installed international development secretary, Stewart perhaps enjoys a slightly lower profile outside of the U.K. than many of his rivals for the Conservative leadership. But he first rose to public prominence almost two decades ago when he wrote a book as a young British diplomat about walking solo across a war-torn Afghanistan just months after Al-Qaeda launched the 9/11 attacks from there.

He went on to administrate a southern Iraqi province after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion there, so he can lay claim to the rather unique experience of having mediated between warring tribes — a skill that might prove useful in contemporary Westminster.

He has said recently that British politics needs to take itself more seriously and has publicly criticized several of his competitors, most notably Boris Johnson. He says he wants to strike a deal and then to move on to focus on other domestic priorities if he becomes prime minister.

Rory Stewart, U.K. international development secretary, departs after attending a weekly meeting of cabinet ministers at number 10 Downing Street on May 21, 2019 in London, England.

Luke Dray/Getty Images

Kit Malthouse

The minister currently responsible for housing, Malthouse gained a reputation as a pragmatist and mediator earlier this year when Conservative lawmakers with widely different views on Brexit came together for discussions he chaired, to thrash out a compromise that was then put to May.

It called for a reworking of the Irish backstop through the establishment of a free trade agreement between the U.K. and EU, as well as an extension to the Brexit deadline. But the suggestion — although voted through by Parliament — was never seriously pursued by May's negotiators, nor indeed European officials.

Malthouse was previously deputy mayor of London and voted for the U.K. to leave Europe, but in his announcement as a candidate he said that any deal will need "unity" across the country, and that a "new generation" of politicians unscarred by internal Conservative conflicts must lead the party forward into the future.

Housing minister Kit Malthouse in Westminster, London after he became the latest person to enter the race to succeed Theresa May as leader of the Conservative Party.

Isabel Infantes/PA Images via Getty Images

Let's block ads! (Why?)


https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/28/brexit-contenders-hoping-to-become-britains-next-prime-minister.html

2019-05-28 11:25:47Z
52780304757364

Amid royal honors, Trump steps on his own good press - CNN

He could have stepped away from the perpetually raging Washington storm, especially since Congress is on a recess that could offer a timeout from his separation-of-powers showdown with Democrats.
But asking Trump to avoid controversy is like expecting a moth to avoid a light bulb. So the President made a conscious choice to use his brief trip to Asia to whip up new outrage back home over the 2020 election and his handling of North Korea.
Inside Trump's Air Force One: 'It's like being held captive'
He sided with the official media of vicious dictator Kim Jong Un in an attack on his potential 2020 rival Joe Biden and by extension on the US democratic process. He could easily have sidestepped the issue -- but consistent with his norm-shattering political method, he chose to escalate it.
Then, desperate to preserve the credibility of his failing diplomatic opening with Kim, Trump shrugged off short-range ballistic missile tests by Pyongyang that threaten the Japanese hosts who gave him a staggeringly warm welcome.

Approval rating obsession

The President last week had lashed out at the media, complaining that without its "fake news" and the Mueller investigation, his approval rating would be at 75%.
Yet he spent the weekend piling up unflattering headlines that help to explain why his rating is closer to 40% than the majority of public opinion that ought to ensure a first-term president presiding over a good economy four more years in the Oval Office.
And it's a good bet that the President won't be able to resist injecting himself into Britain's political torment over Europe when he's in London next week as a guest of the Queen.
He's got a history of injecting himself into the Brexit debate, and will arrive in London with Prime Minister Theresa May heading for the exit of 10 Downing Street and the governing Conservative Party searching for a new leader.
It's as if the publicity-hound President can't bear the thought that he might be out of sight, out of mind, for Americans when he is thousands of miles away. In a Sunday tweet, he pointed out that he was still plugged in even though it was "very early in the morning in Japan," as he watched the Indy 500 auto race. CNN reported last week that the President gets angry if his favorite Fox News is not available in foreign hotels.
One of the unique characteristics of the Trump administration is the President's almost limitless energy to wage concurrent political fights at any hour of day or night.
While in Japan, the indefatigable Trump weighed in, mostly on Twitter, on post-election Israeli politics, slammed Democrats for getting "NOTHING" done, demanded a change in libel laws and called for a prolongation of the annual Rolling Thunder Vietnam veterans event in Washington, which is expected to wrap up this year.
He demanded an apology from the press for the "Russian collusion delusion," gave shout-outs to his favorite conservative pundits and promoted Fox News shows.
Trump might have been 13 time zones to the east, but he was burning up everyone's social media timelines and cable television, and demanding as much attention as ever. It was as if he were holed up in the White House or at one of his golf resorts like he is every other weekend.
Such ubiquity is vital for a President who has bet his second term squarely on an impassioned turnout from his political base, which he seeks to keep in a constant state of anger.

Yet another norm shattered

Even for Trump, who took Russian President Vladimir Putin's denials of election interference at face value at a notorious Helsinki news conference, his willingness to embrace Pyongyang's assessment of the Democratic front-runner was daring.
"Kim Jong Un made a statement that Joe Biden is a low-IQ individual. He probably is, based on his record," Trump said alongside Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.
The comment did not just infringe conventions that once precluded American presidents from waging domestic politics overseas -- which Trump has long since dumped after they were eroded by his recent predecessors.
But by aligning himself with a murderous tyrant who leads a hostile power against a political rival, the President also seemed to be inviting other foreign leaders to do what they can to help his re-election, whatever the consequences for American democracy.
The President also refused to accept the assessment of his own national security adviser, John Bolton, that North Korea's recent ballistic missile launches infringed UN Security Council resolutions.
"My people think it could have been a violation, as you know. I view it differently," Trump said, referring to the tests, which even his own top aides believed infringed UN resolutions.
The most charitable interpretation of the President's comment is that he was trying to keep open his dialogue channel with Kim and to avoid reacting to provocations that could put the US and North Korea back on a dangerous path to confrontation -- an outcome no sane person wants.
But Trump's critics suggested his motives were more personal.
"President Trump regards North Korea, of course, as his signature issue He's not going to admit that the fundamental cause of this problem with North Korea is their nuclear weapons," said Joseph Yun, who served as US special representative on policy toward the isolated state in the Barack Obama and Trump administrations.
"He's not going to admit that there has been no progress towards getting rid of North Korean weapons. We must remember the electoral cycle is now with us in the United States," Yun told CNN's Brooke Baldwin.
And the President's construction of a more convenient personal reality on North Korea begs another question.
"At this point, what else is President Trump going to let Kim Jong Un get away with?" Samantha Vinograd, who was a senior national security aide in the Obama administration, said on CNN.
It was an odd way to pay back Japan for its lavish hospitality, which saw Trump become the first foreign leader to meet the new Emperor, Naruhito, and attend a sumo wrestling tournament with Abe.
The President's comments also opened new divisions between Bolton and him, which raised fresh questions about the national security adviser's position and the true nature of US foreign policy with several crises, including with Iran, escalating.
North Korea was quick to try to widen the rift with a vitriolic dispatch from its official news agency, KCNA, branding Bolton a "war maniac" with a "different mental structure from ordinary people."

Let's block ads! (Why?)


https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/28/politics/donald-trump-japan-uk-emperor-queen/index.html

2019-05-28 11:08:00Z
52780304390403

China rages against Bolton meeting with Taiwan as anti-invasion drills begin on the island - CNN

In May, US national security adviser John Bolton met with one of Taiwan's top defense officials, National Security Council Secretary-General David Lee, who was visiting the US. Taiwan's official news agency CNA said it was the first meeting between the top security advisers of both governments since 1979, when Washington severed formal ties with Taipei.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang said Monday that Beijing "deplored and strongly objected" to the meeting and urged the US to stop "having official exchanges or upgrading substantive relations with Taiwan."
Taiwan and China were separated at the end of a bloody civil war in 1949 and officially the US only has official diplomatic relations with Beijing.
Trump's trade war shows how China has lost all its friends in Washington
"The one-China principle is the political basis for China-US relations," Lu said. "We are firmly against the US engaging in any official contact with Taiwan in whatever form and under whatever pretext.
"We also stand resolutely against any attempt to create 'two Chinas' or 'one China, one Taiwan.' This is our clear and consistent position."
As the China and US engage in a tense trade war, however, Washington has been building closer ties with Taiwan, the island that China views as a renegade province.
On Saturday, Taiwan announced it had renamed its unofficial embassy in Washington from the Coordination Council for North American Affairs to the Taiwan Council for US Affairs, after discussions with Washington. That marked the first time a Taiwan government organization had been renamed to include the words "Taiwan" and "US."
"Really got to love the new name," Taiwan Foreign Minister Joseph Wu said on the ministry's official Twitter.
A Taiwan Mirage 2000 jet prepares to take off on a highway, during an exercise outside Taichung on Tuesday. In the background, onlookers wave the Taiwan flag.
And in March, Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen announced she wanted to purchase advanced new weapons from US President Donald Trump's administration.
Beijing's comments came as Taiwan began its annual Han Kuang Exercise on Tuesday. The military drills are aimed at ensuring the island's readiness for an invasion by communist China's People's Liberation Army (PLA).
President Tsai watched as the air force landed F-16V aircraft on a highway in eastern Changhua county, an exercise designed to test the military's refueling and rearming capacity if major airfields on the island were occupied or destroyed by the PLA.
Hundreds of Taiwanese flocked to the roadside to watch the drill, waving flags and displaying banners showing their support for the island's airforce.
When asked about the future of US-Taiwan defense relations -- and whether the Bolton meeting was the new normal -- Taiwan military spokesman Maj. Gen. Chen Chung-Chi said the two governments would continue to work together.
"In the Asia Pacific region, we are just like the US, who share common core values including freedom of democracy and human rights (with)," he said.
"We also hope that we can play the role of defender of peace in the region. This is to serve the common interests of Taiwan and the US."

Let's block ads! (Why?)


https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/28/asia/taiwan-us-china-bolton-intl/index.html

2019-05-28 08:54:00Z
CAIiELx9ItdpCU3x2NducrmFu-YqGQgEKhAIACoHCAowocv1CjCSptoCMPrTpgU

Senin, 27 Mei 2019

European Parliament Election Results: 4 Key Takeaways - NPR

A woman exits a voting booth with curtains depicting the European Union flag in Baleni, Romania, on Sunday. Andreea Alexandru/AP hide caption

toggle caption
Andreea Alexandru/AP

Europe's traditional centrist coalition lost its majority in the European Union's parliamentary elections Sunday, with far-right populist parties and liberal, pro-European Union parties both gaining ground. The results suggest a complicated future for the EU, as voters look for new ways forward.

More than 50 percent of European voters turned out last week to vote in the parliamentary elections, the highest turnout in two decades and a sharp increase from the last election in 2014.

Here's what you need to know from the results.

The center-left, center-right coalition lost its majority

The center-right group known as the European People's Party (EPP) and the center-left Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) held 54 percent of the seats before the vote. Now they're down to 43 percent, according to Sunday's results. The two blocs together lost more than 70 seats, along with the majority they held for decades, according to NPR's Sylvia Poggioli.

The results suggest that European centrists will have to reach out to and unite more broadly with liberal coalitions in order to affect change — and maintain authority — in the EU.

The far-right gained ground — but not as much as expected

Matteo Salvini, Italy's Deputy Prime Minister and leader of the right-wing League party, speaks at a news conference following the European Parliament election results on Monday in Milan. Emanuele Cremaschi/Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption
Emanuele Cremaschi/Getty Images

Populist, euroskeptic parties across Europe saw gains, but less than what some pre-election polls had predicted — and what pro-EU forces had feared. And the various nationalist parties' differences over issues like migration and attitudes toward Russia could cloud prospects for a united right.

"What happened was not really what a lot of people were fearing, that there would be a surge of the far-right populists," former Swedish Prime Minister and now co-chair of the European Council on Foreign Relations Carl Bildt told NPR on Monday. "There was an increase by the far-right, but fairly marginal and far less than what people had predicted."

Because the gains were smaller than expected, the far-right likely won't be able to reshape the future of Europe by itself, says NPR's Poggioli, but it may be able to obstruct the legislative process. Many attribute the victories on the far-right to high unemployment rates, security concerns after several terrorist attacks and tensions over migration.

In France, the far-right National Rally party of Marine Le Pen narrowly beat French President Emmanuel Macron's party coalition. Though Le Pen's party won by less than 1 percent, with 23 percent of the vote, she dubbed it a "victory for the people" on Twitter.

The League, Italy's far-right populist party led by Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini, saw a sweeping victory, garnering more than 34 percent of the country's vote.

"Not only is the League the top party in Italy, Marine Le Pen is the top party in France, Nigel Farage is the top party in the U.K. So Italy, France, the U.K., it's a sign of a Europe that's changing," Salvini said at a press conference after the victory.

In Hungary, the nationalist Fidesz party of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán took more than 52 percent of the vote.

In Austria, conservative Chancellor Sebastian Kurz's Austrian People's Party won the election Sunday, but Kurz was ousted Monday when he lost a no-confidence vote stemming from a scandal that erupted last week over its coalition partner, the far-right Freedom Party. That party fared worse than it had in the previous European election.

Though many of the far-right parties of Europe share the goal of weakening the European Union, they clash on other pressing issues. In Italy, for instance, Salvini, though anti-immigration, has advocated for the relocation of asylum seekers across the EU. Hungary's Orbán has pushed to close borders.

"We reject migration; and we would like to see leaders in position in the European Union who reject migration, who would like to stop it and not manage it," Orbán wrote in a statement after casting his vote Sunday.

Europeans are concerned about the environment

The Greens, a party coalition focusing on environmental issues, went from 52 seats in the European Parliament in 2014 to 69 in 2019, making them the fourth largest voting bloc in the EU.

Members and supporters of the Greens coalition celebrate in Berlin after the announcement of the first forecast for the European elections. Kay Nietfeld/Picture Alliance Via Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption
Kay Nietfeld/Picture Alliance Via Getty Images

The results, the strongest ever for the Greens, indicate that many Europeans are growing increasingly concerned about climate change and the environment. Recently, across northern Europe, young people have been protesting what they see as governmental inaction on combating climate change.

In Germany, the Greens took 21 percent of the vote, second only to German Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats, part of the center-right EPP European parliamentary bloc. Since the last election in 2014, Merkel's party lost 6 percentage points, while the Greens gained nearly 10 points.

The Greens also saw gains in France, the Netherlands, Ireland, Finland, Denmark and Belgium, among others.

"The Greens and the Liberals were the winners of the day," Sweden's Carl Bildt told NPR.

The U.K. doubles down on Brexit

Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage arrives at a Brexit party on Monday in London. Peter Summers/Getty Images hide caption

toggle caption
Peter Summers/Getty Images

Voters in the United Kingdom weren't initially even supposed to participate in this election; they were supposed to have left the EU by the end of March. But with several delays — and plans for leaving now set for October — U.K. voters had to take part, and gave the new Brexit Party, led by populist Nigel Farage, more than 30 percent of the vote.

In contrast, Prime Minister Theresa May's Conservative Party ended up in fifth place, with 8.7 percent of the vote. "This is the worst showing by the Conservative Party since the 1830s," says NPR's Frank Langfitt.

The Labour Party also fared poorly, down 10 percentage points since 2014. Both the Labour and Conservative parties wavered on finding a clear position on Brexit, and the vote seems to indicate, Langfitt says, that voters rewarded clarity on the issue of leaving the EU. Liberal Democrats and other pro-EU parties did well.

"Never before in British politics has a new party, launched just six weeks ago, topped the polls in a national election," Farage said after his election as a member of the European Parliament. "There's a huge message here, a massive message here."

Let's block ads! (Why?)


https://www.npr.org/2019/05/27/727293356/4-takeaways-from-the-european-parliament-election-results

2019-05-27 18:42:00Z
52780301352929

The Muddled Message of Britain’s EU Elections - Slate

Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage speaks to the media as he stands with newly elected Brexit Party MEPs, including Dr David Bull (L) and Ann Widdecombe (R) at a Brexit Party event on May 27, 2019 in London, England.

Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage speaks to the media as he stands with newly elected Brexit Party MEPs, including Dr David Bull (L) and Ann Widdecombe (R) at a Brexit Party event on May 27, 2019 in London, England.

Peter Summers/Getty Images

The elections that were never supposed to happen have delivered the result that Britain’s two leading parties feared: The Conservatives and Labour, which have dominated British politics since the 1920s, both received a thumping, while parties with a clear position on Brexit thrived.

When the results of the European elections that were held in Britain on Thursday were announced starting Sunday night (counting was delayed until all of the 28 EU member states had finished voting), the Brexit Party appeared to be the big winner. With all but Northern Ireland counted, the Brexit Party won 31.6 percent of the total votes, securing 29 of UK’s 73 seats in the EU Parliament.

Although the Brexit party was formed just six weeks ago, after Theresa May secured an extension to Britain’s exit date, meaning that Britain would have to take part in the EU elections, it is led by a familiar face. Nigel Farage, who as leader of UKIP, the United Kingdom Independence Party, may have been the single most important anti-EU figure in the runup to the 2016 referendum, left his former party in December 2018, after its xenophobia and Islamophobia became less coded. His new party took advantage of UKIP’s drift toward extremism. UKIP’s share of the vote shrank from 26.6 percent in 2014 to just 3.3 percent, and it lost all of its 24 seats. (Alt-right populist Tommy Robinson gained no traction with voters in North West England—taking just 2.2 percent of the vote, despite attracting approximately 95 percent of the local media coverage.)

The Brexit Party didn’t just take over UKIP’s votes, though.
Labour lost 10 MEPs and saw its share of the vote shrink by 11.3 percent, while the Conservatives went from 19 to just 4 MEPs, losing nearly 15 percent of its vote share and doing worse than the Green Party. Given this drubbing, it seems clear that in this very peculiar election, voters were making a statement about how the two main parties have handled Britain’s departure from the EU. But that statement wasn’t necessarily in favor of Brexit.

While traditional Labour or Conservative voters who favor leaving the EU may have switched their allegiance to the Brexit Party, those who favor staying in also changed their voting patterns. Pro-EU parties who favor a second referendum did well—the Liberal Democrats went from just one to 16 MEPs, the Green Party added three for a total of seven, while the Scottish National Party and Welsh nationalists Plaid Cymru also did better than in 2014. As the Guardian observed, “the share of the two unambiguously pro-Brexit parties—the Brexit party and Ukip—was 34.9%, markedly lower than the aggregate total of the pro-second referendum parties (the Lib Dems, Greens, Change UK, the Scottish National party and Plaid) at 40.3%.”

What does all this mean?

The Brexit process is now even more likely to remain a confusing and chaotic mess. (Surprise!) The Labour Party’s takeaway from the election results was that it needs to be clearer about its stance on Brexit. On Sunday night, early in the BBC’s election coverage, shadow Foreign Secretary Emily Thornberry not only called for another public referendum on EU membership but said Labour should campaign to remain. Thornberry admitted, “We were not clear on the one single thing that people wanted to hear.”

In 2016—and ever since—the opposition party’s policy on Brexit has been surprisingly difficult to parse, in part because its supporters are divided. Many traditional Labour strongholds, especially in the North and Midlands, support Brexit, while London, its other power center, strongly favors remaining. Unambiguous support for staying in the European Union is a policy that could cause many working-class Northern and Midlands voters to desert the party.

The Conservatives, meanwhile, were too busy licking their wounds to say much at all. Prominent Conservative Brexiteer Daniel Hannan conceded that EU 2019 was “the worst result my party has suffered in its 185-year history,” but he added that “you don’t need to be any kind of expert on politics” to understand why: “People voted Leave and we haven’t left.”

The establishment parties are right to be worried.
Pre-election TV coverage was full of interviews with prominent lifelong Conservatives who had abandoned the party over Europe. Referendums often leave disruption in their wake. Just look at Scotland: Labour’s opposition to Scottish independence in the 2014 referendum seems to have severed many Scots’ tribal affiliation with the party. In the general election the following year, Labour lost 40 of its 41 Scottish seats to the Scottish National Party. (It regained six of them in 2017.) This week, for the first time, Labour didn’t elect a single MEP in Scotland. If the Brexit referendum alienates working-class Notherners and Midlanders from the Labour Party, the consequences could be devastating.

As was the case on Friday, when Prime Minister Theresa May announced her imminent departure and aspirants for her job started to lay out their policy stalls, Conservatives on all sides of Brexit agree that Parliament will never pass May’s withdrawal plan, but no one has offered specific ideas for what should or could take its place. Once again, the “debate” is over whether leaving without a deal—that is, exiting the EU on Oct. 31 without making any arrangements around trade, the Irish border, or any of the other complicated elements in the divorce settlement—would be totally disastrous or a “big economic boost.”

On Monday, politicians from across the political spectrum were trying to decode the messages voters were trying to send. It’s that we should leave now, said the Brexiteers. It’s that we should vote again, said the remainers. One way to resolve this confusion would be to conduct another general election before the next scheduled vote in May 2022. Under normal circumstances, a disastrous election performance by a deeply divided, leaderless ruling party would be likely to trigger a general election, but given its own dismal results, the opposition Labour Party has no incentive to push for an early election. Because the EU elections use a different proportional-representation voting system, and because voters care much less about the European Parliament and are thus more willing to cast protest votes, last week’s election can’t be directly compared to a “regular” vote. If there was a general election tomorrow, Nigel Farage wouldn’t become prime minister—despite leading two different parties to astonishing results in European elections, he has failed in each of his seven attempts to win a seat in Parliament. Still, neither of the main parties wants to test if eighth time’s the charm.

Let's block ads! (Why?)


https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/05/britain-eu-elections-brexit-party.html

2019-05-27 17:55:00Z
52780303659797

The Nigel Farage Show, Back After The EU Elections - LBC - LBC

Let's block ads! (Why?)


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ-SzmLgbBY

2019-05-27 17:03:22Z
52780303659797

European Parliament elections: 5 takeaways from the results - NBC News

Breaking News Emails

Get breaking news alerts and special reports. The news and stories that matter, delivered weekday mornings.

SUBSCRIBE

 / Updated 

By Alexander Smith

LONDON — The dust has settled on the world's second largest democratic exercise, a continent-wide vote that has left Europe's political landscape reshaped.

Last week, some 373 million citizens across 28 countries took part in elections for the European Parliament, which makes laws that bind the political and economic bloc. The results rolled in on Sunday night.

Far-right populists had some wins, but it wasn't quite the dramatic, widespread surge seen in recent elections at the national and local level across the continent.

What is clear is that the mainstream parties from the center-left and center-right hemorrhaged votes, with much of their support going to a fragmented collection of environmentalists and pro-European Union liberals.

Here are five key takeaways.

1. The far-right surge never quite came

Steve Bannon, the former adviser to President Donald Trump, called for these elections to be a referendum endorsing his right-wing populist vision for Europe. But while there were some victories for this camp, the full-blown tsunami that some predicted failed to materialize.

Right-wing populists fell short of expectations in Austria, the Netherlands and Denmark, while Germany's AfD party made only slight gains.

Even in France, where Marine le Pen's National Rally came first, beating President Emmanuel Macron's En Marche party, its provisional vote share was down on the last European Parliament elections in 2014.

"The big story is that the nationalist populists have not managed to turn this into a referendum on the E.U.," said Jose Ignacio Torreblanca, a senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, a Brussels-based think tank. "People like Bannon have failed."

That said, while the gains might not have been as dramatic as some forecast, the election arguably cemented far-right populism as a European force that isn't going away soon. Such parties are often anti-migrant, anti-Muslim and anti-E.U., or at least wish to radically reshape the bloc from within.

There were clear victories for the right in Poland, Hungary and Italy. "The rules are changing in Europe," said Matteo Salvini, the leader of Italy's far-right League party which got around 34 percent of the vote there. "A new Europe is born."

Britain's Brexit Party was also victorious, securing around one-third of the vote and relegating the ruling Conservatives to fifth place at a dismal 9 percent. However, the U.K. should perhaps be seen as a special case due to the country's protracted and messy attempts to leave the European Union.

2. The collapse of the mainstream

For the first time, the traditional center-left and center-right parties will not have a majority in the European Parliament's 751-seat chamber.

The Social Democrats and the European People's Party, groupings which have dominated for years, lost 39 and 36 seats respectively, according to provisional results.

"This is a profound change," said Janis A. Emmanouilidis, director of studies at the European Policy Centre, another Brussels-based think tank. "The two biggest parties have lost a significant number of seats."

March 14, 201901:51

However, voters often use the E.U. elections to give major parties a bloody nose, secure in the knowledge that it will not cause upheaval in their own national parliaments.

Even so, Sunday's results represented a seismic rejection of the traditional ruling parties across the continent.

"We are facing a shrinking center of the European Union parliament," Manfred Weber, chairman of the European People's Party said. "From now on, those who want to have a strong European Union have to join forces."

The one exception was in Spain, where the Socialists looked set to gain 20 of the country's 54 seats. The Socialists belong to the wider Social Democrats group, however, for whom the general outlook was far more bleak.

"If you lose an election, if you lose seats, you have to be modest," added Frans Timmermans, the lead candidate for the Social Democrats. "We have lost seats and this means that we have to be humble."

3. More than Green shoots

Riding something of an environmentalist wave washing over Europe, the continent's Green group made big gains.

This was most evident in Germany, where the Greens doubled their provisional vote share to 21 percent and overtook the country's traditional center-left Social Democrats in the process.

In France and Britain, the Greens also did well, placing third and fourth respectively. More subtly, environmental issues were given increased prominence in the manifestos of other parties, too.

This shift comes on the back of months of demonstrations demanding action over climate change. In May, the United Nations released a report warning 1 million species of plants and animals were under threat of extinction.

"We will work tirelessly. For people. For Europe. For our planet!" the European Greens tweeted.

4. Pro-E.U. liberals make gains

Another group that mopped up support from the traditional parties was the pro-Europe, pro-business liberal centrists.

Parties allied with the Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe — known as ALDE — looked set to increase their number of seats from 68 to 109, although this was largely thanks to Macron's En Marche party joining them.

ALDE is led by Guy Verhofstadt, one of the E.U.'s most ardent defenders against populist forces that wish to dismantle or disrupt the union.

The boost in support suggests that voters, especially young people, came out to back their side of the argument.

"When Europe is threatened, you have seen the youth mobilizing to defend it," said Torreblanca at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

The BBC also reported that turnout in the U.K. surged in areas that supported the country staying in the E.U. in the 2016 Brexit referendum. Britain's Liberal Democrats came second with 20 percent of the vote. They were one of the parties to explicitly oppose Brexit, and gained huge support in Remain-backing areas, including beating Labour in that party's erstwhile stronghold of London.

5. Good luck trying to govern now

This was the first time in Europe's history that turnout for these elections has risen, climbing from 43 percent to an encouraging 51 percent.

"This is noteworthy," said Emmanouilidis at the European Policy Centre, calling the leap "remarkably higher."

Yet the results spell a European Parliament that is going to be far more fragmented than it has been in recent years.

The two centrist giants bled support and will be unable to form the kind of "grand coalition" that they had before. Instead they might need another coalition partner or two, meaning more compromise and room for disagreement on key issues.

Timmermans, of the Social Democrats, has already ruled out attempting to build a coalition with the far-right, calling instead for a "progressive" grouping to be formed.

"It will become quite messy," said Emmanouilidis, describing attempts to find consensus in Brussels "an uphill struggle" at the best of times.

Reuters contributed.

Let's block ads! (Why?)


https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/european-parliament-elections-5-takeaways-results-n1010491

2019-05-27 14:03:00Z
52780301352929